Monday, June 13, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Wei-Yin Chen vs. Colin Rea
The Miami Marlins visit Petco Park on Monday to play the San Diego Padres. The probable starters are Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins and Colin Rea for the Padres. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -113 and San Diego at +103. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins have a 33-28-1 over/under record and a 29-33-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Padres are 38-25-0 against the run line and have a 30-31-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 60% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 32-30 record, including 18-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Wei-Yin Chen has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.25. He has 57 strikeouts over his 71 innings pitched and he has given up 73 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.24. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.06 and they have given up 187 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen while being struck out 205 times and walking 101 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 522 base hits and 249 earned runs. They have allowed 50 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 239 batters and struck out 529. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 3.80.
As a team, Miami is batting .269, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .285 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.37 hits per game. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .323 and his on-base percentage is at .368. He has 76 hits this season along with 38 runs scored and 37 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 17 times. Martin Prado is hitting .323 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 75 hits so far while scoring 25 runs and he's driven in 18. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 27 times. The Marlins have 581 hits, including 107 doubles and 52 home runs. They've stolen 18 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Miami has walked 170 times this season and they've struck out 468 times as a unit. They've left 469 men on base and have a team OPS of .732. They score 4.02 runs per contest and have scored a total of 249 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this matchup with a 15-18 home record and a 26-37 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.74, Colin Rea has a 3-2 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 44 strikeouts over the 62.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 59 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.39. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.70 and they have given up 220 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 226 times and walking 103 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.27 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.47. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 558 base knocks and 282 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 67 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 248 hitters and struck out 522. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.24.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .233 average at home. The Padres hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.08 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .292 and he has an OBP of .331. He has 70 hits this year along with 40 runs scored and 37 RBI. He's struck out 54 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .288 and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 70 hits so far while he's scored 31 runs and drove in 21. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 56 times. The Padres as a unit have 509 base hits, including 99 doubles and 65 homers. They have 42 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. San Diego as a team has walked 155 times this year and they have struck out 571 times. They've had 382 men left on base and have an OPS of .674. They score 4.05 runs per game and have totaled 255 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 33-28-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 29-33-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 30-31-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 38-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
San Diego Padres
06/12/16 P Andrew Cashner Neck 15-day DL (6/11)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins
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