Tuesday, June 14, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tom Koehler vs. Drew Pomeranz
The Miami Marlins head to Petco Park on Tuesday to take on the San Diego Padres. The probable pitchers are Tom Koehler for the Marlins and Drew Pomeranz for the Padres. The opening line for this game has Miami at +127 and San Diego at -137. The over/under is 7.5. The Marlins have a 33-29-1 over/under mark and a 29-34-0 run line record, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Padres are 39-25-0 against the run line and have a 30-32-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 61% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 32-31 record, and they are 18-15 on the road. Starting pitcher Tom Koehler has a 4-6 record with an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.53. He has 51 strikeouts during his 66 innings pitched and he has given up 64 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.17. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.00 and they have allowed 188 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the pen while they've been struck out 209 times and walked 102 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.57 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.59 hitters per nine. They are 13th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.08. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 534 base hits and 254 earned runs. They have allowed 51 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 241 batters and struck out 535. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 3.80.
As a team, Miami is hitting .268, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .281 average on the road. The Marlins have a .403 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .323 which is good for 13th in the league. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.27 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .319 and his on-base percentage is at .363. He has 76 hits this season along with 38 runs scored and 37 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 17 times. Martin Prado is hitting .323 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 76 hits so far while scoring 25 runs and he's driven in 18. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 28 times. The Marlins have 584 hits, including 107 doubles and 52 home runs. They've stolen 18 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 10 times. Miami has walked 172 times this season and they've struck out 474 times as a unit. They've left 471 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 3.95 runs per contest and have scored a total of 249 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this game with a 15-18 home mark and a 26-38 overall record. With an ERA of 2.44, Drew Pomeranz has a 5-6 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 83 strikeouts over the 70 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 46 hits. He has allowed 5.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.86. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.70 and they have given up 222 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 229 times and walking 104 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.34 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.42. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 562 base knocks and 283 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 68 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 252 hitters and struck out 534. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .233 average at home. The Padres hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.08 hits per contest. Wil Myers comes into this matchup batting .287 and he has an OBP of .326. He has 70 hits this year along with 40 runs scored and 37 RBI. He's struck out 56 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Jon Jay is hitting .287 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 71 hits so far while he's scored 31 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 14 times and has punched out 57 times. The Padres as a unit have 517 base hits, including 100 doubles and 65 homers. They have 43 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. San Diego as a team has walked 157 times this year and they have struck out 579 times. They've had 390 men left on base and have an OPS of .672. They score 4 runs per game and have totaled 256 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 33-29-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 29-34-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 30-32-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 39-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/26/16 P Bryan Morris Back 15-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
San Diego Padres
06/12/16 P Andrew Cashner Neck 15-day DL (6/11)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Padres
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