Sunday, April 24, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Conley vs. Matt Cain
The Miami Marlins visit AT&T Park on Sunday to play the San Francisco Giants. The probable starters are Adam Conley for the Marlins and Matt Cain for the Giants. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +130 and San Francisco at -140. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins have a 8-7-0 over/under record and a 7-8-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Giants are 7-11-0 against the run line and have a 9-9-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 39% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 5-10 record, including 3-3 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Conley has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.32. He has 19 strikeouts over his 13.2 innings pitched and he has given up 14 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.03. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.18 and they have given up 47 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the bullpen while being struck out 46 times and walking 23 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.53 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 126 base hits and 65 earned runs. They have allowed 12 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 60 batters and struck out 128. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 3.76.
As a team, Miami is batting .262, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .281 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9 hits per game. Dee Gordon comes into this game hitting .288 and his on-base percentage is at .309. He has 19 hits this season along with 8 runs scored and 4 runs batted in. He's struck out 11 times and has walked 2 times. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .208 and he has an on-base percentage of .306. He has totaled 11 hits so far while scoring 7 runs and he's driven in 10. He has walked 7 times and has struck out 21 times. The Marlins have 135 hits, including 28 doubles and 9 home runs. They've stolen 7 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 3 times. Miami has walked 47 times this season and they've struck out 120 times as a unit. They've left 113 men on base and have a team OPS of .704. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 56 runs so far this year.
San Francisco comes into this matchup with a 4-5 home record and a 8-10 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.46, Matt Cain has a 0-2 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 12 strikeouts over the 15.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 17 hits. He has allowed 10 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.49. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.71 and they have given up 50 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Giants bullpen while being struck out 41 times and walking 23 times this season. As a team, San Francisco has allowed 9.61 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.43 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.30. The Giants pitchers as a team have surrendered 172 base knocks and 77 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 15 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Francisco as a staff has walked 50 hitters and struck out 133. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 3.63.
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Giants hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.56 hits per contest. Buster Posey comes into this matchup batting .273 and he has an OBP of .349. He has 15 hits this year along with 7 runs scored and 5 RBI. He's struck out 6 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Brandon Belt is hitting .273 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 18 hits so far while he's scored 8 runs and drove in 9. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 12 times. The Giants as a unit have 154 base hits, including 27 doubles and 21 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. San Francisco as a team has walked 64 times this year and they have struck out 112 times. They've had 116 men left on base and have an OPS of .731. They score 5.18 runs per game and have totaled 88 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 8-7-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 7-8-0 against the run line so far this season
San Francisco Giants Betting Trends
The San Francisco Giants are 9-9-0 against the over/under so far this season
The San Francisco Giants are 7-11-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
San Francisco Giants
04/22/16 SS Ehire Adrianza Foot 60-day DL (4/15)
04/19/16 P George Kontos Elbow 15-day DL (4/18)
04/15/16 P Sergio Romo Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins
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