Saturday, July 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tom Koehler vs. Adam Wainwright
The Miami Marlins head to Busch Stadium on Saturday to take on the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable pitchers are Tom Koehler for the Marlins and Adam Wainwright for the Cardinals. The opening line for this game has Miami at +153 and St. Louis at -163. The over/under is 8. The Marlins have a 46-41-1 over/under mark and a 45-43-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Cardinals are 46-42-0 against the run line and have a 45-38-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 47-41 record, and they are 23-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Tom Koehler has a 6-7 record with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.56. He has 75 strikeouts during his 96 innings pitched and he has given up 101 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.38. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.74 and they have allowed 250 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the pen while they've been struck out 299 times and walked 130 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.42 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 hitters per nine. They are 12th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.04. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 732 base hits and 351 earned runs. They have allowed 84 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 314 batters and struck out 746. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.
As a team, Miami is hitting .273, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .289 average on the road. The Marlins have a .411 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .332 which is good for 9th in the league. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.5 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .307 and his on-base percentage is at .360. He has 99 hits this season along with 52 runs scored and 47 runs batted in. He's struck out 73 times and has walked 27 times. Martin Prado is hitting .324 and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 106 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 30. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 40 times. The Marlins have 836 hits, including 143 doubles and 77 home runs. They've stolen 28 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Miami has walked 251 times this season and they've struck out 679 times as a unit. They've left 670 men on base and have a team OPS of .743. They score 4.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 371 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this game with a 19-26 home mark and a 46-42 overall record. With an ERA of 4.49, Adam Wainwright has a 8-5 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 86 strikeouts over the 110.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 117 hits. He has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.46. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 204 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 249 times and walking 95 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.43 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.82 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 736 base knocks and 337 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 249 hitters and struck out 682. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .261, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 9.03 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this matchup batting .298 and he has an OBP of .420. He has 85 hits this year along with 56 runs scored and 53 RBI. He's struck out 61 times and has walked on 58 occasions. Yadier Molina is hitting .259 and he has an OBP of .329. He has collected 75 hits so far while he's scored 30 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 38 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 796 base hits, including 166 doubles and 117 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 308 times this year and they have struck out 682 times. They've had 635 men left on base and have an OPS of .780. They score 5.17 runs per game and have totaled 455 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 46-41-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 45-43-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 45-38-5 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 46-42-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
St. Louis Cardinals
07/15/16 LF Matt Holliday Ankle is upgraded to probable Friday vs. Miami Marlins
07/09/16 P Michael Wacha Heel injured last game, probable next start
07/07/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
07/07/16 3B Matt Carpenter Oblique 15-day DL (7/7)
07/06/16 1B Brandon Moss Ankle 15-day DL (7/5)
07/02/16 P Kevin Siegrist Mononucleosis 15-day DL (6/30)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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