Sunday, July 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Adam Conley vs. Michael Wacha
The Miami Marlins head to Busch Stadium on Sunday to take on the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable pitchers are Adam Conley for the Marlins and Michael Wacha for the Cardinals. The opening line for this game has Miami at +135 and St. Louis at -145. The over/under is 8.5. The Marlins have a 47-41-1 over/under mark and a 46-43-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Cardinals are 46-43-0 against the run line and have a 46-38-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 48-41 record, and they are 24-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Adam Conley has a 6-5 record with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 94 strikeouts during his 99.1 innings pitched and he has given up 89 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.94. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have allowed 254 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the pen while they've been struck out 303 times and walked 131 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.44 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 hitters per nine. They are 12th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.06. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 742 base hits and 357 earned runs. They have allowed 88 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 316 batters and struck out 755. They walk 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.06.
As a team, Miami is hitting .274, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .290 average on the road. The Marlins have a .411 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .333 which is good for 8th in the league. They rank 2nd in baseball with 9.54 hits per contest. Marcell Ozuna comes into this game hitting .308 and his on-base percentage is at .360. He has 101 hits this season along with 54 runs scored and 49 runs batted in. He's struck out 73 times and has walked 27 times. Martin Prado is hitting .325 and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 108 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 31. He has walked 26 times and has struck out 41 times. The Marlins have 849 hits, including 146 doubles and 77 home runs. They've stolen 28 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Miami has walked 255 times this season and they've struck out 686 times as a unit. They've left 680 men on base and have a team OPS of .744. They score 4.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 378 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this game with a 19-27 home mark and a 46-43 overall record. With an ERA of 4.36, Michael Wacha has a 5-7 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 93 strikeouts over the 105.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 110 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.7. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 209 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 254 times and walking 97 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.81 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 749 base knocks and 343 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 253 hitters and struck out 689. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .261, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 9.04 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this matchup batting .298 and he has an OBP of .420. He has 85 hits this year along with 56 runs scored and 53 RBI. He's struck out 61 times and has walked on 58 occasions. Yadier Molina is hitting .259 and he has an OBP of .328. He has collected 76 hits so far while he's scored 31 runs and drove in 28. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 38 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 806 base hits, including 168 doubles and 121 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 310 times this year and they have struck out 691 times. They've had 641 men left on base and have an OPS of .783. They score 5.18 runs per game and have totaled 461 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 47-41-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 46-43-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 46-38-5 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 46-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/06/16 1B Justin Bour Ankle 15-day DL (7/3)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
St. Louis Cardinals
07/09/16 P Michael Wacha Heel injured last game, probable next start
07/07/16 C Brayan Pena Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
07/07/16 3B Matt Carpenter Oblique 15-day DL (7/7)
07/06/16 1B Brandon Moss Ankle 15-day DL (7/5)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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