Thursday, May 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jose Fernandez vs. Drew Smyly
The Miami Marlins visit Tropicana Field on Thursday to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Jose Fernandez for the Marlins and Drew Smyly for the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +104 and Tampa Bay at -114. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Marlins have a 23-21-1 over/under record and a 22-23-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Rays are 21-22-0 against the run line and have a 17-21-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 23-22 record, including 13-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Fernandez has a 6-2 record with an earned run average of 3.02 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 78 strikeouts over his 53.2 innings pitched and he has given up 41 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.34. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.44 and they have given up 137 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen while being struck out 139 times and walking 71 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 379 base hits and 177 earned runs. They have allowed 33 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 189 batters and struck out 359. They walk 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 3.87.
As a team, Miami is batting .273, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .281 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.33 hits per game. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this game hitting .214 and his on-base percentage is at .326. He has 33 hits this season along with 21 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 25 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .320 and he has an on-base percentage of .420. He has totaled 47 hits so far while scoring 24 runs and he's driven in 20. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 29 times. The Marlins have 420 hits, including 77 doubles and 42 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Miami has walked 133 times this season and they've struck out 349 times as a unit. They've left 341 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 3.96 runs per contest and have scored a total of 178 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with a 10-11 home record and a 21-22 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.54, Drew Smyly has a 2-5 record and a 1.04 WHIP. He has 63 strikeouts over the 56 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 44 hits. He has allowed 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.71. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.70 and they have given up 113 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 118 times and walking 43 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.04 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.56 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 339 base knocks and 165 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 59 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 121 hitters and struck out 361. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 4.20.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .213 average at home. The Rays hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.02 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this matchup batting .251 and he has an OBP of .302. He has 44 hits this year along with 24 runs scored and 20 RBI. He's struck out 45 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Steven Souza is hitting .273 and he has an OBP of .331. He has collected 41 hits so far while he's scored 20 runs and drove in 19. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 56 times. The Rays as a unit have 345 base hits, including 78 doubles and 65 homers. They have 22 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 132 times this year and they have struck out 397 times. They've had 287 men left on base and have an OPS of .743. They score 4.28 runs per game and have totaled 184 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 23-21-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 22-23-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 17-21-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 21-22-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/25/16 LF Christian Yelich Back "?" Wednesday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
Tampa Bay Rays
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
05/14/16 2B Logan Forsythe Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Brad Boxberge Abdominal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays
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