Saturday, October 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Wei-Yin Chen vs. Tanner Roark
The Miami Marlins head to Nationals Park on Saturday to take on the Washington Nationals. The probable pitchers are Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins and Tanner Roark for the Nationals. The Marlins have a 78-74-6 over/under mark and a 74-84-0 run line record, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Nationals are 82-77-0 against the run line and have a 74-77-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Marlins head into this game with a 78-80 record, and they are 38-40 on the road. Starting pitcher Wei-Yin Chen has a 5-4 record with an ERA of 5.02 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 95 strikeouts during his 118.1 innings pitched and he has given up 128 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.51. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.64 and they have allowed 484 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the pen while they've been struck out 557 times and walked 256 times this year. As a unit, Miami has given up 8.51 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 hitters per nine. They are 10th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.02. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 1,334 base hits and 630 earned runs. They have allowed 148 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 581 batters and struck out 1,355. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 3.95.
As a team, Miami is hitting .263, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .275 average on the road. The Marlins have a .394 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .322 which is good for 15th in the league. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.05 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this game hitting .292 and his on-base percentage is at .371. He has 166 hits this season along with 75 runs scored and 95 runs batted in. He's struck out 137 times and has walked 69 times. Martin Prado is hitting .305 and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 181 hits so far while scoring 69 runs and he's driven in 75. He has walked 49 times and has struck out 69 times. The Marlins have 1,430 hits, including 255 doubles and 125 home runs. They've stolen 69 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 26 times. Miami has walked 436 times this season and they've struck out 1,189 times as a unit. They've left 1,146 men on base and have a team OPS of .716. They score 4.05 runs per contest and have scored a total of 640 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this game with a 48-30 home mark and a 93-66 overall record. With an ERA of 2.86, Tanner Roark has a 15-10 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 168 strikeouts over the 204.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 170 hits. He has allowed 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.79. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have given up 417 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 478 times and walking 159 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.12 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.50. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,242 base knocks and 557 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 152 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 457 hitters and struck out 1,452. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.19 while their FIP as a staff is 3.57.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Nationals hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.67 hits per contest. Daniel Murphy comes into this matchup batting .347 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 184 hits this year along with 88 runs scored and 104 RBI. He's struck out 57 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Bryce Harper is hitting .244 and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 121 hits so far while he's scored 83 runs and drove in 85. He has earned a walk 106 times and has punched out 109 times. The Nationals as a unit have 1,379 base hits, including 265 doubles and 199 homers. They have 115 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 38 times. Washington as a team has walked 522 times this year and they have struck out 1,228 times. They've had 1,087 men left on base and have an OPS of .750. They score 4.7 runs per game and have totaled 747 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 78-74-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 74-84-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 74-77-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 82-77-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
09/29/16 RF Bryce Harper Thumb "?" Friday vs. Miami Marlins
09/29/16 2B Daniel Murphy Buttocks is not expected to be in the starting lineup for series vs Miami Marlins
09/27/16 C Wilson Ramos Knee out for season
09/12/16 P Mat Latos Hamstring "?" for next scheduled start
09/09/16 P Stephen Strasburg Elbow out indefinitely
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals
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