Sunday, October 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tom Koehler vs. Max Scherzer
The Miami Marlins visit Nationals Park on Sunday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Tom Koehler for the Marlins and Max Scherzer for the Nationals. The Marlins have a 79-74-6 over/under record and a 75-84-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Nationals are 82-78-0 against the run line and have a 75-77-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 79-80 record, including 39-40 on the road. Starting pitcher Tom Koehler has a 9-13 record with an earned run average of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.45. He has 144 strikeouts over his 173.2 innings pitched and he has given up 173 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.57. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have given up 484 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen while being struck out 567 times and walking 257 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.68 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.02. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 1,341 base hits and 634 earned runs. They have allowed 150 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 584 batters and struck out 1,368. They walk 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 3.95.
As a team, Miami is batting .263, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .275 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.07 hits per game. Christian Yelich comes into this game hitting .294 and his on-base percentage is at .372. He has 168 hits this season along with 77 runs scored and 97 runs batted in. He's struck out 137 times and has walked 70 times. Martin Prado is hitting .304 and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 182 hits so far while scoring 70 runs and he's driven in 75. He has walked 49 times and has struck out 69 times. The Marlins have 1,442 hits, including 258 doubles and 126 home runs. They've stolen 69 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 26 times. Miami has walked 439 times this season and they've struck out 1,196 times as a unit. They've left 1,156 men on base and have a team OPS of .716. They score 4.07 runs per contest and have scored a total of 647 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 48-31 home record and a 93-67 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.82, Max Scherzer has a 19-7 record and a 0.94 WHIP. He has 277 strikeouts over the 223.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 156 hits. He has allowed 6.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.16. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.38 and they have given up 423 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 483 times and walking 162 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.11 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.51. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,254 base knocks and 562 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 153 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 460 hitters and struck out 1,459. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.19 while their FIP as a staff is 3.58.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Nationals hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.66 hits per contest. Daniel Murphy comes into this matchup batting .347 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 184 hits this year along with 88 runs scored and 104 RBI. He's struck out 57 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Bryce Harper is hitting .242 and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 121 hits so far while he's scored 83 runs and drove in 85. He has earned a walk 106 times and has punched out 113 times. The Nationals as a unit have 1,386 base hits, including 266 doubles and 201 homers. They have 117 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 38 times. Washington as a team has walked 525 times this year and they have struck out 1,241 times. They've had 1,092 men left on base and have an OPS of .751. They score 4.69 runs per game and have totaled 751 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 79-74-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 75-84-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 75-77-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 82-78-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
10/01/16 LF Jayson Werth Back injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Miami Marlins
09/29/16 2B Daniel Murphy Buttocks is not expected to be in the starting lineup for series vs Miami Marlins
09/27/16 C Wilson Ramos Knee out for season
09/12/16 P Mat Latos Hamstring "?" for next scheduled start
09/09/16 P Stephen Strasburg Elbow out indefinitely
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins
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