Saturday, May 14, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kendry Flores vs. Stephen Strasburg
The Miami Marlins visit Nationals Park on Saturday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Kendry Flores for the Marlins and Stephen Strasburg for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +123 and Washington at -133. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins have a 19-14-0 over/under record and a 18-15-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Nationals are 17-17-0 against the run line and have a 14-16-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 18-15 record, including 10-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Kendry Flores is making his season debut for Miami. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 105 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen while being struck out 104 times and walking 51 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.48 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.24 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 278 base hits and 135 earned runs. They have allowed 22 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 131 batters and struck out 270. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 3.68.
As a team, Miami is batting .276, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .293 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.48 hits per game. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this game hitting .241 and his on-base percentage is at .366. He has 26 hits this season along with 18 runs scored and 24 runs batted in. He's struck out 39 times and has walked 21 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .325 and he has an on-base percentage of .439. He has totaled 37 hits so far while scoring 21 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 22 times. The Marlins have 313 hits, including 56 doubles and 32 home runs. They've stolen 12 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Miami has walked 97 times this season and they've struck out 240 times as a unit. They've left 246 men on base and have a team OPS of .759. They score 4.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 135 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 10-5 home record and a 21-13 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.76, Stephen Strasburg has a 5-0 record and a 1.04 WHIP. He has 58 strikeouts over the 49 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 39 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.26. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.13 and they have given up 79 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 96 times and walking 33 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.34 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 2.88. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 255 base knocks and 100 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 27 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 98 hitters and struck out 316. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.13 while their FIP as a staff is 3.23.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .240 average at home. The Nationals hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.26 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .264 and he has an OBP of .441. He has 28 hits this year along with 22 runs scored and 27 RBI. He's struck out 29 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Daniel Murphy is hitting .409 and he has an OBP of .449. He has collected 52 hits so far while he's scored 22 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 15 times. The Nationals as a unit have 281 base hits, including 58 doubles and 42 homers. They have 16 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Washington as a team has walked 121 times this year and they have struck out 274 times. They've had 238 men left on base and have an OPS of .728. They score 4.35 runs per game and have totaled 148 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 19-14-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 18-15-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 14-16-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 17-17-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
04/28/16 P Matt Belisle Calf 15-day DL (4/27)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals
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