Sunday, May 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jose Fernandez vs. Joe Ross
The Miami Marlins visit Nationals Park on Sunday to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Jose Fernandez for the Marlins and Joe Ross for the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at -108 and Washington at -102. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins have a 19-15-0 over/under record and a 18-16-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Nationals are 18-17-0 against the run line and have a 14-17-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Marlins head into this matchup with a 18-16 record, including 10-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Fernandez has a 4-2 record with an earned run average of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 58 strikeouts over his 40.2 innings pitched and he has given up 33 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.49. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 108 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen while being struck out 109 times and walking 52 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.29 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Marlins pitchers have collectively given up 287 base hits and 140 earned runs. They have allowed 25 home runs this season and they allow 0.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 137 batters and struck out 279. They walk 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 3.78.
As a team, Miami is batting .275, good for 5th in the league while putting together a .289 average away from home. The Marlins hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.44 hits per game. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this game hitting .250 and his on-base percentage is at .370. He has 28 hits this season along with 19 runs scored and 24 runs batted in. He's struck out 40 times and has walked 21 times. Christian Yelich is hitting .322 and he has an on-base percentage of .434. He has totaled 38 hits so far while scoring 21 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 22 times and has struck out 24 times. The Marlins have 321 hits, including 57 doubles and 32 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Miami has walked 99 times this season and they've struck out 251 times as a unit. They've left 254 men on base and have a team OPS of .753. They score 4.06 runs per contest and have scored a total of 138 runs so far this year.
Washington comes into this matchup with a 11-5 home record and a 22-13 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.29, Joe Ross has a 3-2 record and a 1.10 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 35.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 28 hits. He has allowed 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.03. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.09 and they have given up 81 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Nationals bullpen while being struck out 100 times and walking 33 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.36 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.15 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 2.83. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 263 base knocks and 101 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 27 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a staff has walked 100 hitters and struck out 327. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.13 while their FIP as a staff is 3.18.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .243 average at home. The Nationals hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.29 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .278 and he has an OBP of .456. He has 30 hits this year along with 23 runs scored and 29 RBI. He's struck out 29 times and has walked on 37 occasions. Daniel Murphy is hitting .405 and he has an OBP of .443. He has collected 53 hits so far while he's scored 22 runs and drove in 22. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 16 times. The Nationals as a unit have 290 base hits, including 59 doubles and 45 homers. They have 16 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. Washington as a team has walked 127 times this year and they have struck out 283 times. They've had 246 men left on base and have an OPS of .736. They score 4.37 runs per game and have totaled 153 runs so far this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 19-15-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 18-16-0 against the run line so far this season
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 14-17-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 18-17-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
04/28/16 P Matt Belisle Calf 15-day DL (4/27)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins
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