Wednesday, May 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Junior Guerra vs. Mike Foltynewicz
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Turner Field on Wednesday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Junior Guerra for the Brewers and Mike Foltynewicz for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at -110 and Atlanta at +100. The over/under was set at 8. The Brewers have a 24-18-2 over/under record and a 21-23-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Braves are 17-26-0 against the run line and have a 21-18-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.
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The Brewers head into this matchup with a 18-26 record, including 6-14 on the road. Starting pitcher Junior Guerra has a 3-0 record with an earned run average of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.04. He has 24 strikeouts over his 25 innings pitched and he has given up 18 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.14. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.87 and they have given up 152 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen while being struck out 134 times and walking 74 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.53 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.32 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.82. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 411 base hits and 208 earned runs. They have allowed 63 home runs this season and they allow 1.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 171 batters and struck out 316. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 4.98.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .242, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .222 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .392 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 7.91 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .360 and his on-base percentage is at .424. He has 49 hits this season along with 21 runs scored and 28 runs batted in. He's struck out 22 times and has walked 15 times. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .287 and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 43 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 17. He has walked 14 times and has struck out 31 times. The Brewers have 348 hits, including 73 doubles and 47 home runs. They've stolen 33 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Milwaukee has walked 177 times this season and they've struck out 427 times as a unit. They've left 301 men on base and have a team OPS of .716. They score 4.18 runs per contest and have scored a total of 184 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 2-17 home record and a 12-31 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.57, Mike Foltynewicz has a 1-2 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 17 strikeouts over the 21.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 27 hits. He has allowed 11.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.91. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.58 and they have given up 147 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 157 times and walking 68 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.98 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.68 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.48. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 385 base knocks and 193 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 43 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 143 hitters and struck out 329. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.07.
As a team, they are batting .233, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Braves hold a .319 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.91 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .245 and he has an OBP of .354. He has 39 hits this year along with 16 runs scored and 24 RBI. He's struck out 29 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .272 and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 43 hits so far while he's scored 19 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 45 times. The Braves as a unit have 341 base hits, including 66 doubles and 18 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 123 times this year and they have struck out 340 times. They've had 302 men left on base and have an OPS of .617. They score 3.19 runs per game and have totaled 137 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 24-18-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 21-23-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 21-18-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 17-26-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/20/16 RF Domingo Santana Shoulder 15-day DL (5/19)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
05/11/16 P Jim Johnson Groin 15-day DL (5/9)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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