Tuesday, April 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson vs. Kyle Hendricks
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Wrigley Field on Tuesday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers and Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +199 and Chicago at -215. The over/under was set at 8. The Brewers have a 12-6-1 over/under record and a 9-10-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Cubs are 14-5-0 against the run line and have a 11-7-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 74% of the time.
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The Brewers head into this matchup with a 8-11 record, including 3-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 19 strikeouts over his 26 innings pitched and he has given up 22 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.79. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 5.14 and they have given up 77 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .282 against the bullpen while being struck out 56 times and walking 31 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.76 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.8 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.65. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 196 base hits and 103 earned runs. They have allowed 31 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 73 batters and struck out 124. They walk 4 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.64 and their FIP as a unit is 5.46.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .235, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .206 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.42 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .364 and his on-base percentage is at .432. He has 24 hits this season along with 12 runs scored and 15 runs batted in. He's struck out 13 times and has walked 8 times. Domingo Santana is hitting .275 and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 19 hits so far while scoring 9 runs and he's driven in 9. He has walked 9 times and has struck out 23 times. The Brewers have 141 hits, including 35 doubles and 20 home runs. They've stolen 8 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Milwaukee has walked 72 times this season and they've struck out 178 times as a unit. They've left 119 men on base and have a team OPS of .708. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 76 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 4-2 home record and a 14-5 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.00, Kyle Hendricks has a 1-2 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 18 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 18 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.65. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.93 and they have given up 29 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .186 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 51 times and walking 13 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.75 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 2.51. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 121 base knocks and 47 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 14 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 42 hitters and struck out 164. They give up a walk 2.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 0.97 while their FIP as a staff is 3.01.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .204 average at home. The Cubs hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .355 which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.68 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .203 and he has an OBP of .360. He has 14 hits this year along with 14 runs scored and 21 RBI. He's struck out 12 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Kris Bryant is hitting .278 and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 22 hits so far while he's scored 14 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 17 times. The Cubs as a unit have 165 base hits, including 35 doubles and 26 homers. They have 11 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Chicago as a team has walked 97 times this year and they have struck out 150 times. They've had 143 men left on base and have an OPS of .790. They score 6.26 runs per game and have totaled 119 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 12-6-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 9-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 11-7-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 14-5-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/24/16 C Jonathan Lucroy Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 15-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers
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