Sunday, September 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Wily Peralta vs. Kyle Hendricks
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Wrigley Field on Sunday to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Wily Peralta for the Brewers and Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs. The Brewers have a 69-71-8 over/under record and a 80-68-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Cubs are 77-70-0 against the run line and have a 66-73-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Brewers head into this matchup with a 66-82 record, including 27-46 on the road. Starting pitcher Wily Peralta has a 6-10 record with an earned run average of 5.42 and a WHIP of 1.57. He has 80 strikeouts over his 109.2 innings pitched and he has given up 133 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.09. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.77 and they have given up 481 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen while being struck out 442 times and walking 198 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.07 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.38 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.13. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 1,319 base hits and 601 earned runs. They have allowed 167 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 497 batters and struck out 1,074. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .245, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.04 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .304 and his on-base percentage is at .369. He has 144 hits this season along with 75 runs scored and 83 runs batted in. He's struck out 91 times and has walked 46 times. Jonathan Villar is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 156 hits so far while scoring 81 runs and he's driven in 55. He has walked 68 times and has struck out 162 times. The Brewers have 1,190 hits, including 226 doubles and 175 home runs. They've stolen 162 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 50 times. Milwaukee has walked 559 times this season and they've struck out 1,406 times as a unit. They've left 992 men on base and have a team OPS of .731. They score 4.15 runs per contest and have scored a total of 614 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this matchup with a 52-21 home record and a 94-53 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.03, Kyle Hendricks has a 15-7 record and a 0.96 WHIP. He has 152 strikeouts over the 173 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 123 hits. He has allowed 6.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.38. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.36 and they have given up 331 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 465 times and walking 177 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 6.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.86 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.04. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,014 base knocks and 454 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 151 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 452 hitters and struck out 1,310. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.10 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Cubs hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.66 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .295 and he has an OBP of .388. He has 164 hits this year along with 114 runs scored and 95 RBI. He's struck out 141 times and has walked on 69 occasions. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .290 and he has an OBP of .388. He has collected 155 hits so far while he's scored 88 runs and drove in 101. He has earned a walk 71 times and has punched out 97 times. The Cubs as a unit have 1,273 base hits, including 265 doubles and 183 homers. They have 57 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 31 times. Chicago as a team has walked 594 times this year and they have struck out 1,226 times. They've had 1,097 men left on base and have an OPS of .769. They score 4.97 runs per game and have totaled 731 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 69-71-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 80-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 66-73-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 77-70-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/17/16 CF Kirk Nieuwenhuis Abdominal expected to miss Saturday & Sunday vs. Chicago Cubs
09/16/16 CF Keon Broxton Wrist out for season
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
09/16/16 LF Jorge Soler Side left last game, "?" Saturday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
08/12/16 P Pedro Strop Knee 15-day DL (8/11)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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