Sunday, May 8, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Junior Guerra vs. John Lamb
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Great American Ball Park on Sunday to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Junior Guerra for the Brewers and John Lamb for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +121 and Cincinnati at -131. The over/under was set at 9. The Brewers have a 19-8-2 over/under record and a 13-16-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Reds are 13-17-0 against the run line and have a 17-11-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.
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The Brewers head into this matchup with a 11-18 record, including 3-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Junior Guerra has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.33. He has 3 strikeouts over his 6 innings pitched and he has given up 7 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.58. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.84 and they have given up 115 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .281 against the bullpen while being struck out 88 times and walking 55 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.73 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.95 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.69. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 298 base hits and 158 earned runs. They have allowed 46 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 123 batters and struck out 193. They walk 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.68 and their FIP as a unit is 5.50.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .245, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .211 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 7.86 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .360 and his on-base percentage is at .423. He has 36 hits this season along with 15 runs scored and 22 runs batted in. He's struck out 15 times and has walked 11 times. Domingo Santana is hitting .242 and he has an on-base percentage of .324. He has totaled 22 hits so far while scoring 11 runs and he's driven in 11. He has walked 11 times and has struck out 32 times. The Brewers have 228 hits, including 52 doubles and 31 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Milwaukee has walked 111 times this season and they've struck out 257 times as a unit. They've left 186 men on base and have a team OPS of .730. They score 4.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 125 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this matchup with a 11-7 home record and a 13-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.50, John Lamb has a 0-0 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 4 strikeouts over the 6 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 6 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.24. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 6.28 and they have given up 113 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 86 times and walking 57 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.21 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.25 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.19. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 268 base knocks and 151 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 51 home runs this year and they give up 1.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 131 hitters and struck out 211. They give up a walk 4.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.52 while their FIP as a staff is 5.69.
As a team, they are batting .234, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Reds hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290 which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.53 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .230 and he has an OBP of .358. He has 23 hits this year along with 13 runs scored and 16 RBI. He's struck out 29 times and has walked on 19 occasions. Jay Bruce is hitting .245 and he has an OBP of .299. He has collected 24 hits so far while he's scored 13 runs and drove in 21. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 26 times. The Reds as a unit have 226 base hits, including 57 doubles and 30 homers. They have 20 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 72 times this year and they have struck out 236 times. They've had 155 men left on base and have an OPS of .687. They score 4.03 runs per game and have totaled 121 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 19-8-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 13-16-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 17-11-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 13-17-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/06/16 P Wily Peralta Personal "?" next start
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 2B Scooter Gennett Oblique 15-day DL (4/28)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
05/06/16 P Jon Moscot Shoulder "?" for next scheduled start
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 15-day DL (5/1)
05/01/16 P Raisel Iglesias Shoulder 15-day DL (4/26)
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (3/27)
04/04/16 P Anthony DeSclafa Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Homer Bailey Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 C Kyle Skipworth Ankle 60-day DL (3/31)
04/03/16 P John Lamb Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Michael Lorenzen Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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