Thursday, June 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Junior Guerra vs. Scott Kazmir
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Dodger Stadium on Thursday to play the Los Angeles Dodgers. The probable starters are Junior Guerra for the Brewers and Scott Kazmir for the Dodgers. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +150 and Los Angeles at -160. The over/under was set at 8. The Brewers have a 33-28-4 over/under record and a 31-34-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Dodgers are 27-38-0 against the run line and have a 31-29-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
The Brewers head into this matchup with a 30-35 record, including 11-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Junior Guerra has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.18. He has 41 strikeouts over his 49 innings pitched and he has given up 41 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.82. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.25 and they have given up 220 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen while being struck out 205 times and walking 95 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.49 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 592 base hits and 290 earned runs. They have allowed 86 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 225 batters and struck out 482. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.70.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .244, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .231 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.97 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .307 and his on-base percentage is at .367. He has 63 hits this season along with 26 runs scored and 36 runs batted in. He's struck out 35 times and has walked 20 times. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .307 and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 67 hits so far while scoring 33 runs and he's driven in 31. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 43 times. The Brewers have 518 hits, including 103 doubles and 69 home runs. They've stolen 56 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Milwaukee has walked 257 times this season and they've struck out 611 times as a unit. They've left 446 men on base and have a team OPS of .721. They score 4.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 266 runs so far this year.
Los Angeles comes into this matchup with a 17-14 home record and a 34-32 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.52, Scott Kazmir has a 5-3 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 75 strikeouts over the 73.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 64 hits. He has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.63. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.04 and they have given up 143 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .195 against the Dodgers bullpen while being struck out 197 times and walking 71 times this season. As a team, Los Angeles has allowed 9.24 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Dodgers pitchers as a team have surrendered 467 base knocks and 220 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 59 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Los Angeles as a staff has walked 178 hitters and struck out 605. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.09 while their FIP as a staff is 3.40.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .245 average at home. The Dodgers hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.68 hits per contest. Adrian Gonzalez comes into this matchup batting .268 and he has an OBP of .347. He has 61 hits this year along with 22 runs scored and 31 RBI. He's struck out 54 times and has walked on 28 occasions. Corey Seager is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 71 hits so far while he's scored 42 runs and drove in 36. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 47 times. The Dodgers as a unit have 515 base hits, including 94 doubles and 71 homers. They have 21 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 12 times. Los Angeles as a team has walked 225 times this year and they have struck out 512 times. They've had 441 men left on base and have an OPS of .684. They score 4.15 runs per game and have totaled 274 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 33-28-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 31-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 31-29-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 27-38-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
06/01/16 P Michael Blazek Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Los Angeles Dodgers
06/15/16 P Kenta Maeda Leg injured last game, "?" for next scheduled start
06/03/16 RF Yasiel Puig Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
05/31/16 P Alex Wood Tricep 15-day DL (5/31)
05/24/16 P Chin-Hui Tsao Tricep 15-day DL (5/22)
05/03/16 P Josh Ravin Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/23/16 P Yimi Garcia Bicep 60-day DL (4/23)
04/05/16 P Brandon McCarthy Elbow 60-day DL (2/19)
04/05/16 P Frankie Montas Ribs 60-day DL (2/20)
04/04/16 P Brett Anderson Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Hyun-Jin Ryu Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 LF Andre Ethier Leg 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers
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