Monday, May 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Wily Peralta vs. Jose Fernandez
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Marlins Park on Monday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Wily Peralta for the Brewers and Jose Fernandez for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +185 and Miami at -200. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Brewers have a 20-8-2 over/under record and a 14-16-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Marlins are 16-13-0 against the run line and have a 17-12-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 55% of the time.
The Brewers head into this matchup with a 12-18 record, including 4-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Wily Peralta has a 2-3 record with an earned run average of 7.50 and a WHIP of 1.93. He has 18 strikeouts over his 30 innings pitched and he has given up 45 hits so far this season. He has allowed 13.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.54. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.70 and they have given up 118 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .276 against the bullpen while being struck out 93 times and walking 55 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.03 batters per nine. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.68. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 309 base hits and 164 earned runs. They have allowed 48 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 124 batters and struck out 203. They walk 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.67 and their FIP as a unit is 5.45.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .249, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .223 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.1 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .358 and his on-base percentage is at .419. He has 38 hits this season along with 17 runs scored and 23 runs batted in. He's struck out 16 times and has walked 11 times. Domingo Santana is hitting .239 and he has an on-base percentage of .320. He has totaled 22 hits so far while scoring 11 runs and he's driven in 11. He has walked 11 times and has struck out 33 times. The Brewers have 243 hits, including 54 doubles and 36 home runs. They've stolen 17 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Milwaukee has walked 113 times this season and they've struck out 265 times as a unit. They've left 192 men on base and have a team OPS of .745. They score 4.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 138 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 6-8 home record and a 16-13 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.28, Jose Fernandez has a 3-2 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 47 strikeouts over the 33.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 29 hits. He has allowed 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.66. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 94 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 93 times and walking 39 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.44 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.03 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.10. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 243 base knocks and 118 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 22 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 110 hitters and struck out 231. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .277, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Marlins hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.59 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .263 and he has an OBP of .378. He has 26 hits this year along with 17 runs scored and 24 RBI. He's struck out 33 times and has walked on 18 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .343 and he has an OBP of .447. He has collected 35 hits so far while he's scored 19 runs and drove in 16. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 20 times. The Marlins as a unit have 278 base hits, including 49 doubles and 30 homers. They have 11 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 6 times. Miami as a team has walked 86 times this year and they have struck out 216 times. They've had 219 men left on base and have an OPS of .766. They score 4.17 runs per game and have totaled 121 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 20-8-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 14-16-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 17-12-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 16-13-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/06/16 P Wily Peralta Personal "?" next start
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/28/16 2B Scooter Gennett Oblique 15-day DL (4/28)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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