Monday, April 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Chase Anderson vs. Phil Hughes
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Target Field on Monday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Chase Anderson for the Brewers and Phil Hughes for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +111 and Minnesota at -121. The over/under was set at 8. The Brewers have a 6-5-0 over/under record and a 6-5-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 55% of the time. The Twins are 5-6-0 against the run line and have a 2-9-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
The Brewers head into this matchup with a 5-6 record, including 2-3 on the road. Starting pitcher Chase Anderson has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.91. He has 9 strikeouts over his 11 innings pitched and he has given up 8 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.05. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 44 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .282 against the bullpen while being struck out 30 times and walking 17 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.47 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.75 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.88. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 101 base hits and 52 earned runs. They have allowed 17 home runs this season and they allow 1.6 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 40 batters and struck out 72. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.25.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .215, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .189 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 6.73 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .268 and his on-base percentage is at .318. He has 11 hits this season along with 5 runs scored and 7 runs batted in. He's struck out 8 times and has walked 3 times. Domingo Santana is hitting .250 and he has an on-base percentage of .340. He has totaled 11 hits so far while scoring 5 runs and he's driven in 7. He has walked 6 times and has struck out 11 times. The Brewers have 74 hits, including 15 doubles and 12 home runs. They've stolen 4 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 2 times. Milwaukee has walked 48 times this season and they've struck out 105 times as a unit. They've left 73 men on base and have a team OPS of .676. They score 3.27 runs per contest and have scored a total of 36 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 2-3 home record and a 2-9 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.38, Phil Hughes has a 0-2 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 12.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 13 hits. He has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.46. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.31 and they have given up 33 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 34 times and walking 19 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.25 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.65 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.68. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 98 base knocks and 39 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 11 home runs this year and they give up 1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 36 hitters and struck out 81. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.
As a team, they are batting .215, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .205 average at home. The Twins hold a .344 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7 hits per contest. Brian Dozier comes into this matchup batting .167 and he has an OBP of .286. He has 6 hits this year along with 2 runs scored and 2 RBI. He's struck out 9 times and has walked on 5 occasions. Joe Mauer is hitting .359 and he has an OBP of .447. He has collected 14 hits so far while he's scored 5 runs and drove in 3. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 4 times. The Twins as a unit have 77 base hits, including 19 doubles and 7 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 33 times this year and they have struck out 105 times. They've had 83 men left on base and have an OPS of .634. They score 2.27 runs per game and have totaled 25 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 6-5-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 6-5-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 2-9-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 5-6-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/17/16 LF Ryan Braun Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 15-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 15-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/16/16 CF Byron Buxton Hand is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Los Angeles Angels
04/16/16 P Fernando Abad Personal placed on bereavement list
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/10/16 CF Danny Santana Hamstring 15-day DL (4/10)
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins
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