Sunday, May 22, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Chase Anderson vs. Noah Syndergaard
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Citi Field on Sunday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Chase Anderson for the Brewers and Noah Syndergaard for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +220 and New York at -240. The over/under was set at 7. The Brewers have a 23-17-2 over/under record and a 20-22-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Mets are 17-24-0 against the run line and have a 19-21-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
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The Brewers head into this matchup with a 18-24 record, including 6-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Chase Anderson has a 2-5 record with an earned run average of 5.32 and a WHIP of 1.41. He has 33 strikeouts over his 44 innings pitched and he has given up 48 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.79. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.97 and they have given up 146 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen while being struck out 127 times and walking 69 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.58 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.21 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.84. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 396 base hits and 200 earned runs. They have allowed 60 home runs this season and they allow 1.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 162 batters and struck out 298. They walk 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 5.01.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .242, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .221 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 7.93 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .364 and his on-base percentage is at .429. He has 48 hits this season along with 21 runs scored and 28 runs batted in. He's struck out 21 times and has walked 15 times. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 42 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 16. He has walked 14 times and has struck out 29 times. The Brewers have 333 hits, including 71 doubles and 46 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 16 times. Milwaukee has walked 172 times this season and they've struck out 402 times as a unit. They've left 287 men on base and have a team OPS of .722. They score 4.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 179 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 11-8 home record and a 23-18 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.19, Noah Syndergaard has a 4-2 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 65 strikeouts over the 53.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 44 hits. He has allowed 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.95. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.44 and they have given up 96 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .208 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 135 times and walking 40 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.89 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.15. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 345 base knocks and 127 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 26 home runs this year and they give up 0.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 95 hitters and struck out 358. They give up a walk 2.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 2.89.
As a team, they are batting .235, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .218 average at home. The Mets hold a .416 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 7.78 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .280 and he has an OBP of .337. He has 42 hits this year along with 13 runs scored and 12 RBI. He's struck out 29 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Michael Conforto is hitting .281 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 38 hits so far while he's scored 19 runs and drove in 23. He has earned a walk 13 times and has punched out 35 times. The Mets as a unit have 319 base hits, including 65 doubles and 57 homers. They have 10 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. New York as a team has walked 137 times this year and they have struck out 361 times. They've had 287 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They score 3.88 runs per game and have totaled 159 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 23-17-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 20-22-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 19-21-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 17-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/21/16 LF Ryan Braun Back "?" Sunday vs. New York Mets
05/20/16 RF Domingo Santana Shoulder 15-day DL (5/19)
04/28/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
New York Mets
05/21/16 1B Lucas Duda Back "?" Sunday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
05/12/16 SS Wilmer Flores Hamstring 15-day DL (5/11)
04/26/16 C Travis d'Arnaud Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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