Saturday, April 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Taylor Jungmann vs. Jon Niese
The Milwaukee Brewers visit PNC Park on Saturday to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable starters are Taylor Jungmann for the Brewers and Jon Niese for the Pirates. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +138 and Pittsburgh at -148. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Brewers have a 5-4-0 over/under record and a 5-4-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Pirates are 4-6-0 against the run line and have a 6-4-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 40% of the time.
The Brewers head into this matchup with a 4-5 record, including 1-2 on the road. Starting pitcher Taylor Jungmann has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 11.57 and a WHIP of 2.00. He has 3 strikeouts over his 7 innings pitched and he has given up 11 hits so far this season. He has allowed 14.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.5. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.46 and they have given up 38 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .279 against the bullpen while being struck out 23 times and walking 12 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.68 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.61 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 5.13. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 85 base hits and 45 earned runs. They have allowed 15 home runs this season and they allow 1.7 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 30 batters and struck out 58. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.39.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .214, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .167 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 6.67 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .250 and his on-base percentage is at .314. He has 8 hits this season along with 3 runs scored and 3 runs batted in. He's struck out 7 times and has walked 3 times. Domingo Santana is hitting .257 and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 9 hits so far while scoring 5 runs and he's driven in 6. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 9 times. The Brewers have 60 hits, including 12 doubles and 10 home runs. They've stolen 1 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 2 times. Milwaukee has walked 33 times this season and they've struck out 91 times as a unit. They've left 55 men on base and have a team OPS of .660. They score 3.11 runs per contest and have scored a total of 28 runs so far this year.
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup with a 3-2 home record and a 5-5 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.73, Jon Niese has a 1-0 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 12 strikeouts over the 11 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 10 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.4. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.91 and they have given up 34 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 31 times and walking 18 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.26 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 80 base knocks and 42 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 12 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 40 hitters and struck out 82. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.64.
As a team, they are batting .289, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .284 average at home. The Pirates hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .377 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.7 hits per contest. Andrew McCutchen comes into this matchup batting .263 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 10 hits this year along with 5 runs scored and 2 RBI. He's struck out 8 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Starling Marte is hitting .317 and he has an OBP of .378. He has collected 13 hits so far while he's scored 5 runs and drove in 7. He has earned a walk 2 times and has punched out 9 times. The Pirates as a unit have 97 base hits, including 20 doubles and 3 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 44 times this year and they have struck out 70 times. They've had 88 men left on base and have an OPS of .770. They score 3.9 runs per game and have totaled 39 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 5-4-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 5-4-0 against the run line so far this season
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 6-4-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 4-6-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/14/16 SS Jonathan Villar Ankle probable Friday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 15-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 15-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/14/16 P Cory Luebke Hamstring 15-day DL
04/13/16 P Francisco Liriano Hamstring "?" next start
04/04/16 3B Jung-ho Kang Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Jared Hughes Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 C Elias Diaz Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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