Friday, September 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Junior Guerra vs. Jameson Taillon
The Milwaukee Brewers visit PNC Park on Friday to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable starters are Junior Guerra for the Brewers and Jameson Taillon for the Pirates. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +181 and Pittsburgh at -191. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Brewers have a 62-64-7 over/under record and a 69-64-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Pirates are 64-67-0 against the run line and have a 72-56-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Brewers head into this matchup with a 57-76 record, including 20-41 on the road. Starting pitcher Junior Guerra has a 7-3 record with an earned run average of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.09. He has 90 strikeouts over his 107.1 innings pitched and he has given up 80 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.65. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 443 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen while being struck out 410 times and walking 187 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.19 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.48 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 1,203 base hits and 558 earned runs. They have allowed 154 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 458 batters and struck out 979. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.49.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .244, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.02 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .312 and his on-base percentage is at .374. He has 132 hits this season along with 67 runs scored and 74 runs batted in. He's struck out 79 times and has walked 40 times. Jonathan Villar is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .377. He has totaled 146 hits so far while scoring 73 runs and he's driven in 47. He has walked 64 times and has struck out 146 times. The Brewers have 1,066 hits, including 207 doubles and 149 home runs. They've stolen 147 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 43 times. Milwaukee has walked 511 times this season and they've struck out 1,277 times as a unit. They've left 907 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 4.08 runs per contest and have scored a total of 542 runs so far this year.
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup with a 34-30 home record and a 67-64 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.39, Jameson Taillon has a 3-3 record and a 1.12 WHIP. He has 63 strikeouts over the 77 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 74 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.7. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.36 and they have given up 421 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 406 times and walking 183 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 9.03 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.48 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,183 base knocks and 536 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 143 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 438 hitters and struck out 980. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.31.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .269 average at home. The Pirates hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.77 hits per contest. Jordy Mercer comes into this matchup batting .260 and he has an OBP of .337. He has 114 hits this year along with 56 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 71 times and has walked on 47 occasions. Starling Marte is hitting .306 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 144 hits so far while he's scored 69 runs and drove in 45. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 100 times. The Pirates as a unit have 1,149 base hits, including 227 doubles and 123 homers. They have 100 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 40 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 435 times this year and they have struck out 1,087 times. They've had 931 men left on base and have an OPS of .729. They score 4.53 runs per game and have totaled 593 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 62-64-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 69-64-0 against the run line so far this season
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 72-56-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 64-67-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/30/16 P Junior Guerra Elbow 15-day DL (8/4), expected to be activated & start Friday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
08/17/16 P Michael Blazek Forearm 15-day DL (8/14)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
08/31/16 P Ivan Nova Hamstring expected to start Saturday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
08/29/16 P Gerrit Cole Elbow 15-day DL (8/25)
08/21/16 3B Jung-ho Kang Shoulder 15-day DL (8/20)
07/04/16 C Chris Stewart Knee 15-day DL (7/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers
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