Sunday, September 4, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Chase Anderson vs. Steven Brault
The Milwaukee Brewers visit PNC Park on Sunday to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The probable starters are Chase Anderson for the Brewers and Steven Brault for the Pirates. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +151 and Pittsburgh at -161. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Brewers have a 62-65-7 over/under record and a 70-64-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Pirates are 64-68-0 against the run line and have a 72-57-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Brewers head into this matchup with a 58-76 record, including 21-41 on the road. Starting pitcher Chase Anderson has a 7-11 record with an earned run average of 4.92 and a WHIP of 1.41. He has 103 strikeouts over his 124.1 innings pitched and he has given up 130 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.29. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.74 and they have given up 445 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 412 times and walking 189 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 1,210 base hits and 558 earned runs. They have allowed 154 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 462 batters and struck out 984. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.49.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .243, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .239 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.98 hits per game. Jonathan Villar comes into this game hitting .295 and his on-base percentage is at .376. He has 146 hits this season along with 73 runs scored and 47 runs batted in. He's struck out 147 times and has walked 65 times. Ryan Braun is hitting .309 and he has an on-base percentage of .371. He has totaled 132 hits so far while scoring 67 runs and he's driven in 74. He has walked 40 times and has struck out 81 times. The Brewers have 1,069 hits, including 208 doubles and 149 home runs. They've stolen 150 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 44 times. Milwaukee has walked 515 times this season and they've struck out 1,285 times as a unit. They've left 914 men on base and have a team OPS of .723. They score 4.05 runs per contest and have scored a total of 543 runs so far this year.
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup with a 34-31 home record and a 67-65 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.86, Steven Brault has a 0-1 record and a 1.64 WHIP. He has 12 strikeouts over the 14 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 16 hits. He has allowed 10.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.08. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 421 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 410 times and walking 187 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.98 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.48 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,186 base knocks and 537 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 143 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 442 hitters and struck out 988. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.30.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .268 average at home. The Pirates hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.76 hits per contest. Starling Marte comes into this matchup batting .308 and he has an OBP of .361. He has 146 hits this year along with 69 runs scored and 45 RBI. He's struck out 100 times and has walked on 23 occasions. Jordy Mercer is hitting .260 and he has an OBP of .337. He has collected 115 hits so far while he's scored 56 runs and drove in 51. He has earned a walk 47 times and has punched out 71 times. The Pirates as a unit have 1,156 base hits, including 229 doubles and 123 homers. They have 100 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 42 times. Pittsburgh as a team has walked 439 times this year and they have struck out 1,092 times. They've had 939 men left on base and have an OPS of .728. They score 4.49 runs per game and have totaled 593 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 62-65-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 70-64-0 against the run line so far this season
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 72-57-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 64-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/17/16 P Michael Blazek Forearm 15-day DL (8/14)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
08/29/16 P Gerrit Cole Elbow 15-day DL (8/25)
08/21/16 3B Jung-ho Kang Shoulder 15-day DL (8/20)
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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