Monday, August 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson vs. Jarred Cosart
The Milwaukee Brewers head to Petco Park on Monday to take on the San Diego Padres. The probable pitchers are Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers and Jarred Cosart for the Padres. The Brewers have a 47-48-7 over/under mark and a 55-47-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Padres are 62-42-0 against the run line and have a 53-49-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 60% of the time.
The Brewers head into this game with a 46-56 record, and they are 17-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson has a 6-9 record with an ERA of 3.42 and a WHIP of 1.40. He has 93 strikeouts during his 123.2 innings pitched and he has given up 118 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.79. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have allowed 341 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the pen while they've been struck out 321 times and walked 140 times this year. As a unit, Milwaukee has given up 9.21 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 hitters per nine. They are 14th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.25. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 922 base hits and 422 earned runs. They have allowed 115 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 351 batters and struck out 748. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.
As a team, Milwaukee is hitting .247, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .242 average on the road. The Brewers have a .396 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .324 which is good for 12th in the league. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.08 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this game hitting .298 and his on-base percentage is at .379. He has 111 hits this season along with 54 runs scored and 38 runs batted in. He's struck out 112 times and has walked 49 times. Ryan Braun is hitting .321 and he has an on-base percentage of .383. He has totaled 104 hits so far while scoring 50 runs and he's driven in 46. He has walked 30 times and has struck out 59 times. The Brewers have 824 hits, including 154 doubles and 107 home runs. They've stolen 103 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 34 times. Milwaukee has walked 377 times this season and they've struck out 975 times as a unit. They've left 693 men on base and have a team OPS of .720. They score 4.05 runs per contest and have scored a total of 413 runs so far this year.
San Diego comes into this game with a 24-26 home mark and a 45-59 overall record. With an ERA of 5.95, Jarred Cosart has a 0-1 record and a 1.78 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 19.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 19 hits. He has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.46. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 341 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Padres bullpen while being struck out 353 times and walking 154 times this season. As a team, San Diego has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.08 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 919 base knocks and 469 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 120 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. San Diego as a staff has walked 380 hitters and struck out 835. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .240 average at home. The Padres hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.18 hits per contest. Matt Kemp comes into this matchup batting .262 and he has an OBP of .285. He has 107 hits this year along with 54 runs scored and 69 RBI. He's struck out 100 times and has walked on 16 occasions. Wil Myers is hitting .272 and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 106 hits so far while he's scored 66 runs and drove in 63. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 96 times. The Padres as a unit have 851 base hits, including 177 doubles and 124 homers. They have 83 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. San Diego as a team has walked 285 times this year and they have struck out 962 times. They've had 635 men left on base and have an OPS of .705. They score 4.38 runs per game and have totaled 455 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 47-48-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 55-47-0 against the run line so far this season
San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The San Diego Padres are 53-49-2 against the over/under so far this season
The San Diego Padres are 62-42-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/30/16 LF Ryan Braun Side "?" Sunday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
San Diego Padres
07/30/16 3B Yangervis Solarte Personal is on the family leave list
06/28/16 CF Jon Jay Forearm 15-day DL (6/20)
06/28/16 P Jonathan Edwards Hip 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 P Cesar Vargas Elbow 15-day DL (5/29)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
05/09/16 2B Jemile Weeks Hamstring 60-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Robbie Erlin Elbow 60-day DL (4/18)
04/21/16 2B Cory Spangenberg Quad 15-day DL (4/20)
04/09/16 P Tyson Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (4/5)
04/04/16 P Buddy Baumann Back 60-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Padres
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