Saturday, August 20, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Wily Peralta vs. Felix Hernandez
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Safeco Field on Saturday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Wily Peralta for the Brewers and Felix Hernandez for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +194 and Seattle at -210. The over/under was set at 8. The Brewers have a 56-57-7 over/under record and a 60-60-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Mariners are 62-58-0 against the run line and have a 58-57-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Brewers head into this matchup with a 52-68 record, including 19-39 on the road. Starting pitcher Wily Peralta has a 5-8 record with an earned run average of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.74. He has 53 strikeouts over his 78 innings pitched and he has given up 105 hits so far this season. He has allowed 12.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.1. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.88 and they have given up 408 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the bullpen while being struck out 376 times and walking 165 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.25 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 1,091 base hits and 510 earned runs. They have allowed 137 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 412 batters and struck out 873. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.50.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .246, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .240 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.09 hits per game. Jonathan Villar comes into this game hitting .296 and his on-base percentage is at .381. He has 130 hits this season along with 63 runs scored and 42 runs batted in. He's struck out 133 times and has walked 61 times. Ryan Braun is hitting .321 and he has an on-base percentage of .383. He has totaled 120 hits so far while scoring 61 runs and he's driven in 65. He has walked 36 times and has struck out 68 times. The Brewers have 971 hits, including 179 doubles and 132 home runs. They've stolen 134 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 41 times. Milwaukee has walked 462 times this season and they've struck out 1,134 times as a unit. They've left 825 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 4.08 runs per contest and have scored a total of 489 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 33-25 home record and a 64-56 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.34, Felix Hernandez has a 7-4 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 102.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 82 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.51. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.66 and they have given up 332 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 415 times and walking 132 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.67 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.25 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,041 base knocks and 475 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 153 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 340 hitters and struck out 991. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.21.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Mariners hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.85 hits per contest. Robinson Cano comes into this matchup batting .294 and he has an OBP of .348. He has 143 hits this year along with 78 runs scored and 75 RBI. He's struck out 74 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Kyle Seager is hitting .285 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 129 hits so far while he's scored 68 runs and drove in 79. He has earned a walk 48 times and has punched out 79 times. The Mariners as a unit have 1,062 base hits, including 184 doubles and 167 homers. They have 35 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. Seattle as a team has walked 373 times this year and they have struck out 937 times. They've had 806 men left on base and have an OPS of .757. They score 4.65 runs per game and have totaled 558 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 56-57-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 60-60-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 58-57-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 62-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/17/16 P Michael Blazek Forearm 15-day DL (8/14)
08/16/16 P Chase Anderson Quad left last game, "?" for next scheduled start
08/09/16 P Junior Guerra Elbow 15-day DL (8/4)
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
08/16/16 P James Paxton Elbow 15-day DL (8/8)
08/05/16 P Steve Cishek Hip 15-day DL (8/2)
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 15-day DL (7/30)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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