Sunday, August 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Garza vs. Ariel Miranda
The Milwaukee Brewers head to Safeco Field on Sunday to take on the Seattle Mariners. The probable pitchers are Matt Garza for the Brewers and Ariel Miranda for the Mariners. The opening line for this game has Milwaukee at +158 and Seattle at -168. The over/under is 8.5. The Brewers have a 57-57-7 over/under mark and a 61-60-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Mariners are 62-59-0 against the run line and have a 59-57-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Brewers head into this game with a 52-69 record, and they are 19-40 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Garza has a 4-5 record with an ERA of 4.87 and a WHIP of 1.55. He has 36 strikeouts during his 64.2 innings pitched and he has given up 75 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.69. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.89 and they have allowed 412 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the pen while they've been struck out 379 times and walked 168 times this year. As a unit, Milwaukee has given up 9.27 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.39 hitters per nine. They are 21st in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.34. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 1,102 base hits and 516 earned runs. They have allowed 140 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 418 batters and struck out 878. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.53.
As a team, Milwaukee is hitting .247, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .241 average on the road. The Brewers have a .400 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .327 which is good for 9th in the league. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.12 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this game hitting .298 and his on-base percentage is at .383. He has 132 hits this season along with 66 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 134 times and has walked 62 times. Ryan Braun is hitting .319 and he has an on-base percentage of .381. He has totaled 121 hits so far while scoring 61 runs and he's driven in 67. He has walked 36 times and has struck out 69 times. The Brewers have 982 hits, including 179 doubles and 135 home runs. They've stolen 136 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 43 times. Milwaukee has walked 466 times this season and they've struck out 1,143 times as a unit. They've left 832 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 495 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this game with a 34-25 home mark and a 65-56 overall record. With an ERA of 5.79, Ariel Miranda has a 1-0 record and a 1.57 WHIP. He has 12 strikeouts over the 14 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 17 hits. He has allowed 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.36. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.70 and they have given up 337 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 420 times and walking 136 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.69 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.26 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,052 base knocks and 481 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 156 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 344 hitters and struck out 1,000. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 13th in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Mariners hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.87 hits per contest. Robinson Cano comes into this matchup batting .293 and he has an OBP of .349. He has 144 hits this year along with 79 runs scored and 77 RBI. He's struck out 75 times and has walked on 36 occasions. Kyle Seager is hitting .287 and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 131 hits so far while he's scored 69 runs and drove in 80. He has earned a walk 49 times and has punched out 79 times. The Mariners as a unit have 1,073 base hits, including 185 doubles and 170 homers. They have 36 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. Seattle as a team has walked 379 times this year and they have struck out 942 times. They've had 818 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They score 4.67 runs per game and have totaled 565 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 57-57-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 61-60-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 59-57-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 62-59-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/17/16 P Michael Blazek Forearm 15-day DL (8/14)
08/16/16 P Chase Anderson Quad left last game, "?" for next scheduled start
08/09/16 P Junior Guerra Elbow 15-day DL (8/4)
07/25/16 3B Will Middlebrooks Leg 15-day DL (7/25)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
08/16/16 P James Paxton Elbow 15-day DL (8/8)
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 15-day DL (7/30)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Josh's Pick: Take the Mariners
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