Friday, July 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Garza vs. Jaime Garcia
The Milwaukee Brewers head to Busch Stadium on Friday to take on the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable pitchers are Matt Garza for the Brewers and Jaime Garcia for the Cardinals. The opening line for this game has Milwaukee at +163 and St. Louis at -173. The over/under is 8.5. The Brewers have a 39-34-4 over/under mark and a 40-37-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Cardinals are 41-36-0 against the run line and have a 43-30-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Brewers head into this game with a 35-42 record, and they are 13-23 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Garza has a 1-0 record with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.50. He has 8 strikeouts during his 16 innings pitched and he has given up 20 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 11.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.1. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have allowed 264 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the pen while they've been struck out 245 times and walked 113 times this year. As a unit, Milwaukee has given up 9.22 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 hitters per nine. They are 20th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.45. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 701 base hits and 338 earned runs. They have allowed 96 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 266 batters and struck out 567. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.66.
As a team, Milwaukee is hitting .249, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .242 average on the road. The Brewers have a .401 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .326 which is good for 14th in the league. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.18 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .325 and his on-base percentage is at .381. He has 80 hits this season along with 34 runs scored and 44 runs batted in. He's struck out 44 times and has walked 21 times. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .303 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 79 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 38. He has walked 25 times and has struck out 51 times. The Brewers have 630 hits, including 122 doubles and 82 home runs. They've stolen 67 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Milwaukee has walked 289 times this season and they've struck out 738 times as a unit. They've left 525 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.1 runs per contest and have scored a total of 316 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this game with a 15-22 home mark and a 40-37 overall record. With an ERA of 4.09, Jaime Garcia has a 5-6 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 75 strikeouts over the 88 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 92 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.58. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.64 and they have given up 184 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 222 times and walking 85 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 649 base knocks and 303 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 220 hitters and struck out 580. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.84.
As a team, they are batting .261, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 9.06 hits per contest. Matt Carpenter comes into this matchup batting .298 and he has an OBP of .418. He has 79 hits this year along with 54 runs scored and 49 RBI. He's struck out 57 times and has walked on 53 occasions. Yadier Molina is hitting .261 and he has an OBP of .329. He has collected 68 hits so far while he's scored 26 runs and drove in 26. He has earned a walk 25 times and has punched out 34 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 699 base hits, including 150 doubles and 104 homers. They have 18 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 261 times this year and they have struck out 599 times. They've had 545 men left on base and have an OPS of .782. They score 5.25 runs per game and have totaled 404 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 39-34-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 40-37-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 43-30-4 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 41-36-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/30/16 C Jonathan Lucroy Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Thursday vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
St. Louis Cardinals
06/30/16 CF Stephen Piscotty Ankle injured last game, "?" Thursday vs. Kansas City Royals
06/29/16 SS Aledmys Diaz Eye "?" Thursday vs. Kansas City Royals
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 15-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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