Sunday, September 11, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Zach Davies vs. Luke Weaver
The Milwaukee Brewers head to Busch Stadium on Sunday to take on the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable pitchers are Zach Davies for the Brewers and Luke Weaver for the Cardinals. The opening line for this game has Milwaukee at +176 and St. Louis at -186. The over/under is 8.5. The Brewers have a 67-67-7 over/under mark and a 76-65-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Cardinals are 65-75-0 against the run line and have a 76-58-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
The Brewers head into this game with a 63-78 record, and they are 24-42 on the road. Starting pitcher Zach Davies has a 10-7 record with an ERA of 4.01 and a WHIP of 1.25. He has 120 strikeouts during his 146 innings pitched and he has given up 147 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.95. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have allowed 462 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the pen while they've been struck out 425 times and walked 193 times this year. As a unit, Milwaukee has given up 9.09 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.37 hitters per nine. They are 18th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.19. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 1,262 base hits and 582 earned runs. They have allowed 163 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 481 batters and struck out 1,023. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.50.
As a team, Milwaukee is hitting .247, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .246 average on the road. The Brewers have a .408 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .328 which is good for 9th in the league. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.13 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .308 and his on-base percentage is at .369. He has 138 hits this season along with 72 runs scored and 81 runs batted in. He's struck out 85 times and has walked 41 times. Jonathan Villar is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 154 hits so far while scoring 80 runs and he's driven in 54. He has walked 66 times and has struck out 151 times. The Brewers have 1,147 hits, including 220 doubles and 164 home runs. They've stolen 159 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 48 times. Milwaukee has walked 540 times this season and they've struck out 1,333 times as a unit. They've left 957 men on base and have a team OPS of .736. They score 4.19 runs per contest and have scored a total of 591 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this game with a 31-38 home mark and a 74-66 overall record. With an ERA of 3.96, Luke Weaver has a 1-2 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 31 strikeouts over the 25 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 27 hits. He has allowed 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.11. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.64 and they have given up 371 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 426 times and walking 165 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.93 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,232 base knocks and 568 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 133 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 409 hitters and struck out 1,106. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 3.85.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.86 hits per contest. Aledmys Diaz comes into this matchup batting .312 and he has an OBP of .376. He has 110 hits this year along with 64 runs scored and 57 RBI. He's struck out 54 times and has walked on 34 occasions. Stephen Piscotty is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 141 hits so far while he's scored 78 runs and drove in 78. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 112 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 1,241 base hits, including 262 doubles and 204 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 22 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 467 times this year and they have struck out 1,135 times. They've had 983 men left on base and have an OPS of .777. They score 4.94 runs per game and have totaled 691 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 67-67-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 76-65-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 76-58-6 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 65-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
St. Louis Cardinals
09/05/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 60-day DL (8/14)
08/12/16 LF Matt Holliday Thumb 15-day DL (8/12)
08/10/16 P Michael Wacha Shoulder 15-day DL (8/9)
08/03/16 P Tyler Lyons Knee 60-day DL (7/31), out for season
08/02/16 SS Aledmys Diaz Thumb 15-day DL (8/1)
07/27/16 P Trevor Rosenthal Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Cardinals
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