Thursday, September 8, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Junior Guerra vs. Jaime Garcia
The Milwaukee Brewers visit Busch Stadium on Thursday to play the St. Louis Cardinals. The probable starters are Junior Guerra for the Brewers and Jaime Garcia for the Cardinals. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +146 and St. Louis at -156. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Brewers have a 66-65-7 over/under record and a 73-65-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Cardinals are 64-73-0 against the run line and have a 75-56-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
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The Brewers head into this matchup with a 61-77 record, including 23-41 on the road. Starting pitcher Junior Guerra has a 7-3 record with an earned run average of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.12. He has 93 strikeouts over his 110.2 innings pitched and he has given up 85 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.64. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 457 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 417 times and walking 191 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.14 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.39 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Brewers pitchers have collectively given up 1,243 base hits and 572 earned runs. They have allowed 159 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 473 batters and struck out 1,004. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.50.
As a team, Milwaukee is batting .246, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .242 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.09 hits per game. Ryan Braun comes into this game hitting .308 and his on-base percentage is at .368. He has 136 hits this season along with 71 runs scored and 79 runs batted in. He's struck out 85 times and has walked 40 times. Jonathan Villar is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 150 hits so far while scoring 76 runs and he's driven in 52. He has walked 65 times and has struck out 151 times. The Brewers have 1,116 hits, including 216 doubles and 158 home runs. They've stolen 156 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 46 times. Milwaukee has walked 529 times this season and they've struck out 1,316 times as a unit. They've left 939 men on base and have a team OPS of .732. They score 4.16 runs per contest and have scored a total of 574 runs so far this year.
St. Louis comes into this matchup with a 30-37 home record and a 73-64 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.41, Jaime Garcia has a 10-11 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 136 strikeouts over the 159.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 162 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.19. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have given up 360 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Cardinals bullpen while being struck out 415 times and walking 161 times this season. As a team, St. Louis has allowed 8.75 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.97 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.03. The Cardinals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,195 base knocks and 550 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 128 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. St. Louis as a staff has walked 402 hitters and struck out 1,088. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 3.83.
As a team, they are batting .256, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Cardinals hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.87 hits per contest. Aledmys Diaz comes into this matchup batting .312 and he has an OBP of .376. He has 110 hits this year along with 64 runs scored and 57 RBI. He's struck out 54 times and has walked on 34 occasions. Stephen Piscotty is hitting .276 and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 137 hits so far while he's scored 77 runs and drove in 75. He has earned a walk 45 times and has punched out 109 times. The Cardinals as a unit have 1,216 base hits, including 259 doubles and 201 homers. They have 31 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 21 times. St. Louis as a team has walked 459 times this year and they have struck out 1,116 times. They've had 965 men left on base and have an OPS of .778. They score 4.96 runs per game and have totaled 679 runs so far this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 66-65-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 73-65-0 against the run line so far this season
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends
The St. Louis Cardinals are 75-56-6 against the over/under so far this season
The St. Louis Cardinals are 64-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
St. Louis Cardinals
09/05/16 P Seth Maness Elbow 60-day DL (8/14)
08/30/16 P Mike Leake Skin Rash 15-day DL (8/22), expected to be activated & start Wednesday vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
08/12/16 LF Matt Holliday Thumb 15-day DL (8/12)
08/10/16 P Michael Wacha Shoulder 15-day DL (8/9)
08/03/16 P Tyler Lyons Knee 60-day DL (7/31), out for season
08/02/16 SS Aledmys Diaz Thumb 15-day DL (8/1)
07/27/16 P Trevor Rosenthal Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (7/26)
05/26/16 P Mitch Harris Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jordan Walden Abdominal 60-day DL (3/31)
04/04/16 P Lance Lynn Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers
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