Tuesday, August 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ervin Santana vs. Joel De La Cruz
The Minnesota Twins visit Turner Field on Tuesday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Ervin Santana for the Twins and Joel De La Cruz for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at -135 and Atlanta at +125. The over/under was set at 8. The Twins have a 72-40-6 over/under record and a 61-57-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Braves are 58-60-0 against the run line and have a 54-57-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Twins head into this matchup with a 47-71 record, including 22-34 on the road. Starting pitcher Ervin Santana has a 5-9 record with an earned run average of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 93 strikeouts over his 126.2 innings pitched and he has given up 125 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.87. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.25 and they have given up 429 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the bullpen while being struck out 384 times and walking 129 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.13 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.38 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.93. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 1,181 base hits and 575 earned runs. They have allowed 162 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 309 batters and struck out 860. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.46.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .257, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .256 average away from home. The Twins hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.91 hits per game. Joe Mauer comes into this game hitting .279 and his on-base percentage is at .379. He has 114 hits this season along with 60 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 76 times and has walked 66 times. Brian Dozier is hitting .266 and he has an on-base percentage of .341. He has totaled 116 hits so far while scoring 70 runs and he's driven in 70. He has walked 45 times and has struck out 82 times. The Twins have 1,051 hits, including 217 doubles and 144 home runs. They've stolen 75 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. Minnesota has walked 369 times this season and they've struck out 1,003 times as a unit. They've left 824 men on base and have a team OPS of .751. They score 4.59 runs per contest and have scored a total of 542 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 18-39 home record and a 44-74 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.09, Joel De La Cruz has a 0-5 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 33 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 34 hits. He has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.32. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 382 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 393 times and walking 191 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.48 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.40. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,019 base knocks and 520 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 131 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 410 hitters and struck out 883. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Braves hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.34 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .287 and he has an OBP of .380. He has 126 hits this year along with 66 runs scored and 54 RBI. He's struck out 129 times and has walked on 59 occasions. Nick Markakis is hitting .269 and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 119 hits so far while he's scored 45 runs and drove in 62. He has earned a walk 51 times and has punched out 76 times. The Braves as a unit have 984 base hits, including 200 doubles and 79 homers. They have 56 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 341 times this year and they have struck out 884 times. They've had 830 men left on base and have an OPS of .672. They score 3.58 runs per game and have totaled 422 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 72-40-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 61-57-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 54-57-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 58-60-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/15/16 3B Miguel Sano Elbow "?" Tuesday vs. Atlanta Braves
08/13/16 P Tommy Milone Bicep 15-day DL (8/11)
08/11/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (8/7)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
08/11/16 P Joel De La Cruz Knee left last start, "?" for next start
08/09/16 P Chris Withrow Elbow 15-day DL (8/5)
08/02/16 P Julio Teheran Back 15-day DL (7/31)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 15-day DL (7/31)
07/16/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Oblique 15-day DL (7/15)
07/12/16 C Tyler Flowers Hand 15-day DL (7/10)
06/28/16 P John Gant Oblique 15-day DL (6/27)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 60-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 60-day DL (6/7)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins
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