Friday, July 22, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kyle Gibson vs. Eduardo Rodriguez
The Minnesota Twins visit Fenway Park on Friday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Kyle Gibson for the Twins and Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +174 and Boston at -184. The over/under was set at 10.5. The Twins have a 54-34-6 over/under record and a 48-46-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Red Sox are 48-44-0 against the run line and have a 48-39-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Twins head into this matchup with a 35-59 record, including 15-30 on the road. Starting pitcher Kyle Gibson has a 2-6 record with an earned run average of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.52. He has 45 strikeouts over his 63.1 innings pitched and he has given up 72 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.4. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 333 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the bullpen while being struck out 305 times and walking 100 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.95 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.42 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.84. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 921 base hits and 448 earned runs. They have allowed 125 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 255 batters and struck out 687. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .249, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .241 average away from home. The Twins hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.55 hits per game. Eduardo Nunez comes into this game hitting .309 and his on-base percentage is at .335. He has 105 hits this season along with 48 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 48 times and has walked 13 times. Joe Mauer is hitting .267 and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 88 hits so far while scoring 46 runs and he's driven in 30. He has walked 53 times and has struck out 60 times. The Twins have 804 hits, including 161 doubles and 111 home runs. They've stolen 62 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Minnesota has walked 296 times this season and they've struck out 800 times as a unit. They've left 653 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 413 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 32-20 home record and a 53-39 overall mark. With an earned run average of 7.18, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 2-3 record and a 1.57 WHIP. He has 22 strikeouts over the 36.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 43 hits. He has allowed 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.67. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 246 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 310 times and walking 110 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.44 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 798 base knocks and 398 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 109 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 293 hitters and struck out 771. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.
As a team, they are batting .289, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .303 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .475 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .356 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.26 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .302 and he has an OBP of .342. He has 123 hits this year along with 75 runs scored and 60 RBI. He's struck out 58 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .319 and he has an OBP of .376. He has collected 121 hits so far while he's scored 68 runs and drove in 59. He has earned a walk 34 times and has punched out 62 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 944 base hits, including 221 doubles and 115 homers. They have 60 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Boston as a team has walked 322 times this year and they have struck out 649 times. They've had 689 men left on base and have an OPS of .831. They score 5.61 runs per game and have totaled 516 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 54-34-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 48-46-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 48-39-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 48-44-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/04/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Ribs 15-day DL (7/1)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Boston Red Sox
07/21/16 SS Xander Bogaerts Head probable Thursday vs. Minnesota Twins
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL
07/15/16 P Junichi Tazawa Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
07/09/16 P Craig Kimbrel Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Twins
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