Sunday, July 24, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tommy Milone vs. Rick Porcello
The Minnesota Twins head to Fenway Park on Sunday to take on the Boston Red Sox. The probable pitchers are Tommy Milone for the Twins and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox. The opening line for this game has Minnesota at +220 and Boston at -240. The over/under is 10. The Twins have a 55-35-6 over/under mark and a 49-47-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Red Sox are 49-45-0 against the run line and have a 49-40-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Twins head into this game with a 36-60 record, and they are 16-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Tommy Milone has a 3-2 record with an ERA of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.43. He has 32 strikeouts during his 49.2 innings pitched and he has given up 55 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.71. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.47 and they have allowed 343 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the pen while they've been struck out 312 times and walked 102 times this year. As a unit, Minnesota has given up 9.97 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.41 hitters per nine. They are 28th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.89. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 942 base hits and 462 earned runs. They have allowed 129 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 259 batters and struck out 700. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.
As a team, Minnesota is hitting .248, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .240 average on the road. The Twins have a .411 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .314 which is good for 22nd in the league. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.53 hits per contest. Eduardo Nunez comes into this game hitting .302 and his on-base percentage is at .328. He has 105 hits this season along with 48 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 50 times and has walked 13 times. Joe Mauer is hitting .262 and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 88 hits so far while scoring 47 runs and he's driven in 30. He has walked 54 times and has struck out 64 times. The Twins have 819 hits, including 165 doubles and 112 home runs. They've stolen 62 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Minnesota has walked 299 times this season and they've struck out 818 times as a unit. They've left 664 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 4.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 417 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this game with a 33-21 home mark and a 54-40 overall record. With an ERA of 3.47, Rick Porcello has a 12-2 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 100 strikeouts over the 119.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 115 hits. He has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.82. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.69 and they have given up 251 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 311 times and walking 111 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.45 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.30. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 813 base knocks and 401 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 110 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 296 hitters and struck out 789. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.18.
As a team, they are batting .290, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .303 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .477 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .356 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.27 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .307 and he has an OBP of .345. He has 127 hits this year along with 79 runs scored and 63 RBI. He's struck out 58 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .324 and he has an OBP of .381. He has collected 125 hits so far while he's scored 71 runs and drove in 61. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 63 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 965 base hits, including 226 doubles and 119 homers. They have 60 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Boston as a team has walked 326 times this year and they have struck out 662 times. They've had 697 men left on base and have an OPS of .832. They score 5.64 runs per game and have totaled 530 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 55-35-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 49-47-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 49-40-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 49-45-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/04/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Ribs 15-day DL (7/1)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Boston Red Sox
07/22/16 RF Mookie Betts Knee left last game, "?" Saturday vs. Minnesota Twins
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL
07/10/16 P Sean O'Sullivan Knee 15-day DL (7/10)
07/09/16 P Craig Kimbrel Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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