Monday, May 16, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Jose Berrios vs. Jordan Zimmermann
The Minnesota Twins visit Comerica Park on Monday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Jose Berrios for the Twins and Jordan Zimmermann for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +150 and Detroit at -175. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Twins have a 19-14-2 over/under record and a 14-21-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Tigers are 19-17-0 against the run line and have a 24-12-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Twins head into this matchup with a 9-26 record, including 3-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Berrios has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 6.28 and a WHIP of 1.74. He has 19 strikeouts over his 14.1 innings pitched and he has given up 17 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.94. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.52 and they have given up 132 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the bullpen while being struck out 123 times and walking 53 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.78 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.87. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 335 base hits and 167 earned runs. They have allowed 46 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 114 batters and struck out 281. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.39.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .237, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .227 average away from home. The Twins hold a .378 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.11 hits per game. Joe Mauer comes into this game hitting .295 and his on-base percentage is at .416. He has 36 hits this season along with 10 runs scored and 9 runs batted in. He's struck out 18 times and has walked 25 times. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .340 and he has an on-base percentage of .379. He has totaled 32 hits so far while scoring 14 runs and he's driven in 13. He has walked 4 times and has struck out 18 times. The Twins have 284 hits, including 59 doubles and 33 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Minnesota has walked 112 times this season and they've struck out 307 times as a unit. They've left 258 men on base and have a team OPS of .685. They score 3.51 runs per contest and have scored a total of 123 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this matchup with a 5-9 home record and a 15-21 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.50, Jordan Zimmermann has a 5-2 record and a 1.10 WHIP. He has 28 strikeouts over the 48 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 42 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.42. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 121 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .282 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 76 times and walking 33 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.59 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.87 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 335 base knocks and 159 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 40 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 117 hitters and struck out 240. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 6.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .239 average at home. The Tigers hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.67 hits per contest. Nick Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .347 and he has an OBP of .373. He has 43 hits this year along with 15 runs scored and 28 RBI. He's struck out 30 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Ian Kinsler is hitting .295 and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 44 hits so far while he's scored 30 runs and drove in 17. He has earned a walk 10 times and has punched out 25 times. The Tigers as a unit have 312 base hits, including 56 doubles and 40 homers. They have 9 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Detroit as a team has walked 103 times this year and they have struck out 329 times. They've had 245 men left on base and have an OPS of .713. They score 4.17 runs per game and have totaled 150 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 19-14-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 14-21-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 24-12-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 19-17-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/07/16 SS Eduardo Escobar Groin 15-day DL (5/7)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/28/16 P Shane Greene Finger 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 CF Cameron Maybin Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks