Tuesday, May 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Phil Hughes vs. Mike Pelfrey
The Minnesota Twins visit Comerica Park on Tuesday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Phil Hughes for the Twins and Mike Pelfrey for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +110 and Detroit at -120. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Twins have a 19-15-2 over/under record and a 15-21-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Tigers are 20-17-0 against the run line and have a 25-12-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
The Twins head into this matchup with a 10-26 record, including 4-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Phil Hughes has a 1-6 record with an earned run average of 6.44 and a WHIP of 1.43. He has 26 strikeouts over his 36.1 innings pitched and he has given up 44 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.81. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.52 and they have given up 135 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the bullpen while being struck out 126 times and walking 53 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.76 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.22 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.76. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 344 base hits and 168 earned runs. They have allowed 47 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 115 batters and struck out 290. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.34.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .237, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .227 average away from home. The Twins hold a .379 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.11 hits per game. Joe Mauer comes into this game hitting .286 and his on-base percentage is at .405. He has 36 hits this season along with 10 runs scored and 9 runs batted in. He's struck out 19 times and has walked 25 times. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .330 and he has an on-base percentage of .374. He has totaled 32 hits so far while scoring 14 runs and he's driven in 13. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 20 times. The Twins have 292 hits, including 62 doubles and 34 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Minnesota has walked 114 times this season and they've struck out 320 times as a unit. They've left 262 men on base and have a team OPS of .685. They score 3.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 128 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this matchup with a 5-9 home record and a 16-21 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.80, Mike Pelfrey has a 0-4 record and a 1.85 WHIP. He has 20 strikeouts over the 35.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 49 hits. He has allowed 12.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.57. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 123 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .276 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 82 times and walking 35 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.01 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 342 base knocks and 163 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 41 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 122 hitters and struck out 252. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .239 average at home. The Tigers hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.78 hits per contest. Nick Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .344 and he has an OBP of .374. He has 44 hits this year along with 15 runs scored and 28 RBI. He's struck out 31 times and has walked on 8 occasions. Ian Kinsler is hitting .301 and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 46 hits so far while he's scored 32 runs and drove in 18. He has earned a walk 10 times and has punched out 26 times. The Tigers as a unit have 325 base hits, including 60 doubles and 43 homers. They have 9 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Detroit as a team has walked 107 times this year and they have struck out 337 times. They've had 256 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They score 4.22 runs per game and have totaled 156 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 19-15-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 15-21-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 25-12-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 20-17-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/07/16 SS Eduardo Escobar Groin 15-day DL (5/7)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/28/16 P Shane Greene Finger 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers
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