Monday, July 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ricky Nolasco vs. Matt Boyd
The Minnesota Twins head to Comerica Park on Monday to take on the Detroit Tigers. The probable pitchers are Ricky Nolasco for the Twins and Matt Boyd for the Tigers. The opening line for this game has Minnesota at +134 and Detroit at -144. The over/under is 9.5. The Twins have a 54-30-6 over/under mark and a 45-45-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Tigers are 51-40-0 against the run line and have a 50-37-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.
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The Twins head into this game with a 33-57 record, and they are 13-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Ricky Nolasco has a 4-7 record with an ERA of 5.22 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 85 strikeouts during his 108.2 innings pitched and he has given up 127 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.04. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have allowed 325 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the pen while they've been struck out 299 times and walked 98 times this year. As a unit, Minnesota has given up 10.03 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.56 hitters per nine. They are 28th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.94. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 890 base hits and 438 earned runs. They have allowed 120 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 246 batters and struck out 671. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.42 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.
As a team, Minnesota is hitting .252, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .245 average on the road. The Twins have a .417 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .318 which is good for 20th in the league. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.68 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this game hitting .268 and his on-base percentage is at .373. He has 85 hits this season along with 44 runs scored and 28 runs batted in. He's struck out 60 times and has walked 53 times. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .317 and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 103 hits so far while scoring 47 runs and he's driven in 40. He has walked 12 times and has struck out 43 times. The Twins have 781 hits, including 158 doubles and 106 home runs. They've stolen 60 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Minnesota has walked 289 times this season and they've struck out 762 times as a unit. They've left 633 men on base and have a team OPS of .735. They score 4.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 402 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this game with a 24-17 home mark and a 47-44 overall record. With an ERA of 5.77, Matt Boyd has a 0-2 record and a 1.43 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 34.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 36 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.63. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.47 and they have given up 307 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 244 times and walking 97 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.43 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.42 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 846 base knocks and 410 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 95 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 277 hitters and struck out 665. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.18.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .279 average at home. The Tigers hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.23 hits per contest. Nick Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .299 and he has an OBP of .340. He has 100 hits this year along with 46 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 87 times and has walked on 21 occasions. Ian Kinsler is hitting .294 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 107 hits so far while he's scored 75 runs and drove in 55. He has earned a walk 26 times and has punched out 71 times. The Tigers as a unit have 840 base hits, including 143 doubles and 118 homers. They have 38 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Detroit as a team has walked 272 times this year and they have struck out 769 times. They've had 616 men left on base and have an OPS of .764. They score 4.77 runs per game and have totaled 434 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 54-30-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 45-45-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 50-37-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 51-40-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/04/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Ribs 15-day DL (7/1)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
07/15/16 LF Justin Upton Personal out indefinitely
07/06/16 P Daniel Norris Oblique 15-day DL (7/5)
07/04/16 P Jordan Zimmerman Neck 15-day DL (6/01)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23)
06/17/16 RF J.D. Martinez Elbow 15-day DL (6/17)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers
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