Thursday, September 15, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Hector Santiago vs. Mike Pelfrey
The Minnesota Twins visit Comerica Park on Thursday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are Hector Santiago for the Twins and Mike Pelfrey for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +132 and Detroit at -142. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Twins have a 89-48-8 over/under record and a 74-71-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Tigers are 76-68-0 against the run line and have a 70-67-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Twins head into this matchup with a 54-91 record, including 25-45 on the road. Starting pitcher Hector Santiago has a 11-8 record with an earned run average of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.38. He has 129 strikeouts over his 159 innings pitched and he has given up 148 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.32. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.66 and they have given up 555 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the bullpen while being struck out 466 times and walking 175 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.26 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.31 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.15. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 1,471 base hits and 739 earned runs. They have allowed 203 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 424 batters and struck out 1,048. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.62.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .255 average away from home. The Twins hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.93 hits per game. Brian Dozier comes into this game hitting .280 and his on-base percentage is at .352. He has 155 hits this season along with 98 runs scored and 94 runs batted in. He's struck out 117 times and has walked 56 times. Joe Mauer is hitting .269 and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 129 hits so far while scoring 68 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 75 times and has struck out 89 times. The Twins have 1,295 hits, including 269 doubles and 181 home runs. They've stolen 83 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Minnesota has walked 457 times this season and they've struck out 1,251 times as a unit. They've left 1,020 men on base and have a team OPS of .750. They score 4.61 runs per contest and have scored a total of 668 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this matchup with a 41-31 home record and a 77-67 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.76, Mike Pelfrey has a 4-9 record and a 1.72 WHIP. He has 52 strikeouts over the 115.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 152 hits. He has allowed 11.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.17. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 449 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 390 times and walking 160 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.02 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.58 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,284 base knocks and 603 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 162 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 411 hitters and struck out 1,080. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .266 average at home. The Tigers hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.1 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .309 and he has an OBP of .385. He has 164 hits this year along with 78 runs scored and 89 RBI. He's struck out 102 times and has walked on 65 occasions. Ian Kinsler is hitting .277 and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 156 hits so far while he's scored 103 runs and drove in 75. He has earned a walk 39 times and has punched out 105 times. The Tigers as a unit have 1,311 base hits, including 221 doubles and 186 homers. They have 55 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 25 times. Detroit as a team has walked 431 times this year and they have struck out 1,152 times. They've had 984 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They score 4.54 runs per game and have totaled 654 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 89-48-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 74-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 70-67-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 76-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/14/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (9/12); out for season
09/13/16 1B Joe Mauer Quad "?" Wednesday vs. Detroit Tigers
09/13/16 3B Miguel Sano Back expected to miss Wednesday vs. Detroit Tigers
09/10/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Oblique 15-day DL
08/29/16 CF Danny Santana Shoulder 60-day DL (8/29); out for season
08/24/16 DH Byung Ho Park Wrist out for season
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
09/13/16 LF Justin Upton Calf "?" Wednesday vs. Minnesota Twins
08/07/16 3B Nick Castellanos Hand 15-day DL (8/7)
06/21/16 P Drew VerHagen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/23), out for season
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins
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