Monday, May 2, 2016
Minute Maid Park
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Jose Berrios vs. Dallas Keuchel
The Minnesota Twins visit Minute Maid Park on Monday to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are Jose Berrios for the Twins and Dallas Keuchel for the Astros. The Twins have a 10-13-1 over/under record and a 11-13-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Astros are 7-17-0 against the run line and have a 14-9-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 29% of the time.
The Twins head into this matchup with a 7-17 record, including 1-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Berrios has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 11.25 and a WHIP of 2.00. He has 5 strikeouts over his 4 innings pitched and he has given up 6 hits so far this season. He has allowed 13.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.8. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.28 and they have given up 81 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 88 times and walking 36 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.02 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 219 base hits and 95 earned runs. They have allowed 27 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 75 batters and struck out 192. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .239, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .226 average away from home. The Twins hold a .378 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .239 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.25 hits per game. Joe Mauer comes into this game hitting .321 and his on-base percentage is at .453. He has 27 hits this season along with 8 runs scored and 7 runs batted in. He's struck out 9 times and has walked 20 times. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .373 and he has an on-base percentage of .415. He has totaled 22 hits so far while scoring 9 runs and he's driven in 8. He has walked 2 times and has struck out 10 times. The Twins have 198 hits, including 44 doubles and 21 home runs. They've stolen 14 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. Minnesota has walked 79 times this season and they've struck out 220 times as a unit. They've left 185 men on base and have a team OPS of .688. They score 3.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 80 runs so far this year.
Houston comes into this matchup with a 4-6 home record and a 7-17 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.41, Dallas Keuchel has a 2-3 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 32.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 33 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.99. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 79 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 83 times and walking 20 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 10.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.65 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.97. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 236 base knocks and 115 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 33 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff has walked 66 hitters and struck out 177. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.39.
As a team, they are batting .235, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Astros hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .235 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 7.75 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup batting .305 and he has an OBP of .400. He has 29 hits this year along with 20 runs scored and 13 RBI. He's struck out 14 times and has walked on 12 occasions. Carlos Correa is hitting .271 and he has an OBP of .374. He has collected 23 hits so far while he's scored 12 runs and drove in 9. He has earned a walk 13 times and has punched out 23 times. The Astros as a unit have 186 base hits, including 49 doubles and 29 homers. They have 18 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Houston as a team has walked 85 times this year and they have struck out 238 times. They've had 156 men left on base and have an OPS of .727. They score 3.75 runs per game and have totaled 90 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 10-13-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 11-13-0 against the run line so far this season
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 14-9-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 7-17-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/27/16 P Ervin Santana Back 15-day DL (4/20)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
04/18/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Side 15-day DL (4/18)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Lance McCuller Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/02/16 C Max Stassi Wrist 15-day DL (3/29)
Guy's Pick: Take the Astros
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's 100% Profit Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks