Thursday, September 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kyle Gibson vs. Danny Duffy
The Minnesota Twins head to Kauffman Stadium on Thursday to take on the Kansas City Royals. The probable pitchers are Kyle Gibson for the Twins and Danny Duffy for the Royals. The opening line for this game has Minnesota at +161 and Kansas City at -171. The over/under is 8. The Twins have a 92-57-8 over/under mark and a 80-77-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Royals are 83-74-0 against the run line and have a 73-76-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Twins head into this game with a 56-101 record, and they are 26-50 on the road. Starting pitcher Kyle Gibson has a 6-11 record with an ERA of 5.04 and a WHIP of 1.56. He has 96 strikeouts during his 141 innings pitched and he has given up 166 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.84. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have allowed 596 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the pen while they've been struck out 518 times and walked 193 times this year. As a unit, Minnesota has given up 10.12 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.39 hitters per nine. They are 29th in the Majors in team earned run average at 5.10. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 1,574 base hits and 793 earned runs. They have allowed 218 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 465 batters and struck out 1,149. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.60.
As a team, Minnesota is hitting .251, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .251 average on the road. The Twins have a .421 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .316 which is good for 23rd in the league. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.71 hits per contest. Brian Dozier comes into this game hitting .272 and his on-base percentage is at .343. He has 164 hits this season along with 102 runs scored and 99 runs batted in. He's struck out 131 times and has walked 60 times. Joe Mauer is hitting .261 and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 129 hits so far while scoring 68 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 79 times and has struck out 93 times. The Twins have 1,368 hits, including 278 doubles and 194 home runs. They've stolen 90 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 31 times. Minnesota has walked 495 times this season and they've struck out 1,376 times as a unit. They've left 1,091 men on base and have a team OPS of .738. They score 4.45 runs per contest and have scored a total of 698 runs so far this year.
Kansas City comes into this game with a 46-30 home mark and a 80-77 overall record. With an ERA of 3.43, Danny Duffy has a 12-3 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 185 strikeouts over the 173.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 155 hits. He has allowed 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.77. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.41 and they have given up 489 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Royals bullpen while being struck out 492 times and walking 180 times this season. As a team, Kansas City has allowed 8.97 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.03 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,390 base knocks and 652 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 202 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Kansas City as a staff has walked 497 hitters and struck out 1,245. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.43.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .273 average at home. The Royals hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 8.99 hits per contest. Alcides Escobar comes into this matchup batting .265 and he has an OBP of .296. He has 164 hits this year along with 57 runs scored and 53 RBI. He's struck out 93 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Eric Hosmer is hitting .268 and he has an OBP of .330. He has collected 159 hits so far while he's scored 79 runs and drove in 101. He has earned a walk 56 times and has punched out 128 times. The Royals as a unit have 1,410 base hits, including 255 doubles and 145 homers. They have 119 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 33 times. Kansas City as a team has walked 373 times this year and they have struck out 1,180 times. They've had 1,023 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They score 4.18 runs per game and have totaled 657 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 92-57-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 80-77-0 against the run line so far this season
Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Kansas City Royals are 73-76-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Kansas City Royals are 83-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/28/16 1B Joe Mauer Quad "?" Wednesday vs. Kansas City Royals
09/20/16 LF Eddie Rosario Thumb out for season
09/14/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (9/12); out for season
09/10/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Oblique 15-day DL
08/29/16 CF Danny Santana Shoulder 60-day DL (8/29); out for season
08/24/16 DH Byung Ho Park Wrist out for season
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Kansas City Royals
09/27/16 P Dillon Gee Blood Clot out for season
09/27/16 CF Lorenzo Cain Wrist out for season
09/24/16 P Yordano Ventura Back left last game, "?" next start
07/29/16 P Luke Hochevar Shoulder 60-day DL (7/25)
07/19/16 P Kris Medlen Shoulder 60-day DL (5/11)
05/26/16 3B Mike Moustakas Knee 60-day DL (5/23); out for season
04/10/16 P Mike Minor Shoulder 60-day DL (3/15); out for season
04/04/16 P Tim Collins Elbow 60-day DL; out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Royals
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