Wednesday, April 20, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Tommy Milone vs. Jimmy Nelson
The Minnesota Twins visit Miller Park on Wednesday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Tommy Milone for the Twins and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +120 and Milwaukee at -130. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Twins have a 3-10-0 over/under record and a 7-6-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Brewers are 6-7-0 against the run line and have a 8-5-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
The Twins head into this matchup with a 4-9 record, including 0-6 on the road. Starting pitcher Tommy Milone has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 6 strikeouts over his 10.2 innings pitched and he has given up 12 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.44. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.87 and they have given up 33 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen while being struck out 41 times and walking 20 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 8.58 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.78 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.49. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 108 base hits and 44 earned runs. They have allowed 12 home runs this season and they allow 1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 41 batters and struck out 98. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 3.88.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .240, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .223 average away from home. The Twins hold a .376 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8 hits per game. Joe Mauer comes into this game hitting .362 and his on-base percentage is at .456. He has 17 hits this season along with 5 runs scored and 4 runs batted in. He's struck out 4 times and has walked 8 times. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .286 and he has an on-base percentage of .318. He has totaled 12 hits so far while scoring 3 runs and he's driven in 2. He has walked 2 times and has struck out 14 times. The Twins have 104 hits, including 24 doubles and 9 home runs. They've stolen 9 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 4 times. Minnesota has walked 39 times this season and they've struck out 116 times as a unit. They've left 103 men on base and have a team OPS of .688. They score 2.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 35 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 3-3 home record and a 5-8 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.79, Jimmy Nelson has a 2-1 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 13 strikeouts over the 19.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 12 hits. He has allowed 5.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.87. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.70 and they have given up 56 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .299 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 33 times and walking 22 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 10.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.46 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.40. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 132 base knocks and 66 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 21 home runs this year and they give up 1.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 48 hitters and struck out 79. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 6.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.64 while their FIP as a staff is 5.53.
As a team, they are batting .215, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .238 average at home. The Brewers hold a .350 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 6.62 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .302 and he has an OBP of .362. He has 13 hits this year along with 6 runs scored and 9 RBI. He's struck out 8 times and has walked on 4 occasions. Domingo Santana is hitting .245 and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 12 hits so far while he's scored 5 runs and drove in 7. He has earned a walk 8 times and has punched out 12 times. The Brewers as a unit have 86 base hits, including 18 doubles and 12 homers. They have 4 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 54 times this year and they have struck out 120 times. They've had 83 men left on base and have an OPS of .659. They score 3.31 runs per game and have totaled 43 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 3-10-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 7-6-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 8-5-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 6-7-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/18/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Side 15-day DL (4/18)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/10/16 CF Danny Santana Hamstring 15-day DL (4/10)
04/04/16 P Corey Knebel Oblique 15-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 P Matt Garza Shoulder 15-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 15-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Will Smith Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks