Friday, September 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jose Berrios vs. Bartolo Colon
The Minnesota Twins visit Citi Field on Friday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Jose Berrios for the Twins and Bartolo Colon for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +183 and New York at -193. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Twins have a 90-48-8 over/under record and a 74-72-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Mets are 69-77-0 against the run line and have a 66-77-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Twins head into this matchup with a 54-92 record, including 25-46 on the road. Starting pitcher Jose Berrios has a 2-6 record with an earned run average of 9.27 and a WHIP of 2.02. He has 42 strikeouts over his 44.2 innings pitched and he has given up 62 hits so far this season. He has allowed 12.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.25. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 560 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the bullpen while being struck out 472 times and walking 175 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.28 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.33 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.17. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 1,484 base hits and 746 earned runs. They have allowed 204 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 425 batters and struck out 1,058. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.61.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .254 average away from home. The Twins hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.91 hits per game. Brian Dozier comes into this game hitting .282 and his on-base percentage is at .353. He has 157 hits this season along with 99 runs scored and 96 runs batted in. He's struck out 118 times and has walked 56 times. Joe Mauer is hitting .269 and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 129 hits so far while scoring 68 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 75 times and has struck out 89 times. The Twins have 1,301 hits, including 270 doubles and 183 home runs. They've stolen 83 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Minnesota has walked 459 times this season and they've struck out 1,261 times as a unit. They've left 1,022 men on base and have a team OPS of .750. They score 4.62 runs per contest and have scored a total of 674 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 38-33 home record and a 77-69 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.27, Bartolo Colon has a 13-7 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 110 strikeouts over the 170.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 178 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.03. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.59 and they have given up 410 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 484 times and walking 163 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.58. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,255 base knocks and 515 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 135 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 388 hitters and struck out 1,240. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 3.55.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Mets hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.11 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .358. He has 121 hits this year along with 64 runs scored and 79 RBI. He's struck out 98 times and has walked on 45 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .276 and he has an OBP of .326. He has collected 128 hits so far while he's scored 58 runs and drove in 48. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 96 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,184 base hits, including 210 doubles and 197 homers. They have 37 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 451 times this year and they have struck out 1,183 times. They've had 992 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They score 3.95 runs per game and have totaled 576 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 90-48-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 74-72-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 66-77-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 69-77-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/15/16 C Kurt Suzuki Chin "?" Thursday vs. Detroit Tigers
09/14/16 1B Joe Mauer Quad "?" Thursday vs. Detroit Tigers
09/14/16 3B Miguel Sano Back "?" Thursday vs. Detroit Tigers
09/14/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (9/12); out for season
09/10/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Oblique 15-day DL
08/29/16 CF Danny Santana Shoulder 60-day DL (8/29); out for season
08/24/16 DH Byung Ho Park Wrist out for season
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
New York Mets
09/14/16 3B Wilmer Flores Neck "?" Friday vs. Minnesota Twins
09/07/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm out indefinitely
09/03/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back 60-day DL, out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins
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