Saturday, September 17, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ervin Santana vs. Seth Lugo
The Minnesota Twins head to Citi Field on Saturday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are Ervin Santana for the Twins and Seth Lugo for the Mets. The Twins have a 90-49-8 over/under mark and a 75-72-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Mets are 69-77-0 against the run line and have a 66-77-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Twins head into this game with a 55-92 record, and they are 26-46 on the road. Starting pitcher Ervin Santana has a 7-10 record with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 129 strikeouts during his 163.1 innings pitched and he has given up 155 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.9. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.61 and they have allowed 563 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the pen while they've been struck out 472 times and walked 176 times this year. As a unit, Minnesota has given up 10.28 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 hitters per nine. They are 29th in the Majors in team earned run average at 5.14. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 1,493 base hits and 747 earned runs. They have allowed 204 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 428 batters and struck out 1,061. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.61.
As a team, Minnesota is hitting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .255 average on the road. The Twins have a .429 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .320 which is good for 18th in the league. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.93 hits per contest. Brian Dozier comes into this game hitting .282 and his on-base percentage is at .355. He has 158 hits this season along with 99 runs scored and 98 runs batted in. He's struck out 118 times and has walked 58 times. Joe Mauer is hitting .267 and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 129 hits so far while scoring 68 runs and he's driven in 49. He has walked 75 times and has struck out 90 times. The Twins have 1,312 hits, including 271 doubles and 183 home runs. They've stolen 84 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 27 times. Minnesota has walked 461 times this season and they've struck out 1,268 times as a unit. They've left 1,028 men on base and have a team OPS of .750. They score 4.62 runs per contest and have scored a total of 679 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 38-33 home mark and a 77-69 overall record. With an ERA of 2.40, Seth Lugo has a 4-2 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 37 strikeouts over the 48.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 36 hits. He has allowed 6.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.41. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.59 and they have given up 410 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 484 times and walking 163 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.58 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.58. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,255 base knocks and 515 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 135 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 388 hitters and struck out 1,240. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 3.56.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Mets hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.11 hits per contest. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .358. He has 121 hits this year along with 64 runs scored and 79 RBI. He's struck out 98 times and has walked on 45 occasions. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .276 and he has an OBP of .326. He has collected 128 hits so far while he's scored 58 runs and drove in 48. He has earned a walk 28 times and has punched out 96 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,184 base hits, including 210 doubles and 197 homers. They have 37 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 451 times this year and they have struck out 1,183 times. They've had 992 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They score 3.95 runs per game and have totaled 576 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 90-49-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 75-72-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 66-77-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 69-77-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/16/16 1B Joe Mauer Quad "?" Friday vs. New York Mets
09/16/16 C Kurt Suzuki Chin is downgraded to doubtful Friday vs. New York Mets
09/16/16 3B Miguel Sano Back out indefinitely
09/14/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (9/12); out for season
09/10/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Oblique 15-day DL
08/29/16 CF Danny Santana Shoulder 60-day DL (8/29); out for season
08/24/16 DH Byung Ho Park Wrist out for season
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
New York Mets
09/15/16 3B Wilmer Flores Wrist doubtful Friday vs. Minnesota Twins
09/07/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm out indefinitely
09/03/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back 60-day DL, out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)
Josh's Pick: Take the Mets
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