Saturday, June 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ervin Santana vs. Michael Pineda
The Minnesota Twins visit Yankee Stadium on Saturday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Ervin Santana for the Twins and Michael Pineda for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +183 and New York at -193. The over/under was set at 9. The Twins have a 45-23-4 over/under record and a 31-41-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Yankees are 32-39-0 against the run line and have a 30-34-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
The Twins head into this matchup with a 23-49 record, including 8-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Ervin Santana has a 2-7 record with an earned run average of 4.83 and a WHIP of 1.43. He has 53 strikeouts over his 72.2 innings pitched and he has given up 83 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.5. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.67 and they have given up 277 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .276 against the bullpen while being struck out 246 times and walking 84 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.48 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.59 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.30. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 743 base hits and 376 earned runs. They have allowed 104 home runs this season and they allow 1.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 201 batters and struck out 538. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.48 and their FIP as a unit is 4.57.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .247, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .234 average away from home. The Twins hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.49 hits per game. Joe Mauer comes into this game hitting .277 and his on-base percentage is at .373. He has 72 hits this season along with 31 runs scored and 26 runs batted in. He's struck out 48 times and has walked 40 times. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .316 and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 78 hits so far while scoring 34 runs and he's driven in 26. He has walked 10 times and has struck out 35 times. The Twins have 611 hits, including 118 doubles and 76 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Minnesota has walked 216 times this season and they've struck out 621 times as a unit. They've left 508 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 4.04 runs per contest and have scored a total of 291 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 19-15 home record and a 35-36 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.82, Michael Pineda has a 3-7 record and a 1.49 WHIP. He has 88 strikeouts over the 77.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 96 hits. He has allowed 11.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.92. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 183 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 266 times and walking 53 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 9.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.98 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 622 base knocks and 300 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 88 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 161 hitters and struck out 620. They give up a walk 2.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 3.88.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Yankees hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.25 hits per contest. Carlos Beltran comes into this matchup batting .286 and he has an OBP of .323. He has 71 hits this year along with 39 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 53 times and has walked on 13 occasions. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .278 and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 65 hits so far while he's scored 30 runs and drove in 24. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 34 times. The Yankees as a unit have 586 base hits, including 103 doubles and 74 homers. They have 35 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. New York as a team has walked 205 times this year and they have struck out 486 times. They've had 454 men left on base and have an OPS of .704. They score 4.17 runs per game and have totaled 296 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 45-23-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 31-41-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 30-34-7 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 32-39-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/24/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Groin doubtful Friday vs. New York Yankees
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10)
06/10/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 3B Miguel Sano Hamstring 15-day DL (6/1)
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
New York Yankees
06/23/16 P CC Sabathia Ankle injured last start, probable for next start
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
06/04/16 1B Mark Teixeira Knee 15-day DL (6/4)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins
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