Saturday, May 28, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Phil Hughes vs. Wade Miley
The Minnesota Twins visit Safeco Field on Saturday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Phil Hughes for the Twins and Wade Miley for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +150 and Seattle at -160. The over/under was set at 8. The Twins have a 24-19-3 over/under record and a 18-28-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Mariners are 23-23-0 against the run line and have a 19-23-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Twins head into this matchup with a 12-34 record, including 4-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Phil Hughes has a 1-7 record with an earned run average of 5.55 and a WHIP of 1.32. He has 27 strikeouts over his 48.2 innings pitched and he has given up 55 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.93. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.62 and they have given up 186 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .281 against the bullpen while being struck out 163 times and walking 55 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.19 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.95 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.07. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 460 base hits and 229 earned runs. They have allowed 63 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 135 batters and struck out 359. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.40.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .235, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .227 average away from home. The Twins hold a .374 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8 hits per game. Joe Mauer comes into this game hitting .276 and his on-base percentage is at .383. He has 45 hits this season along with 13 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 29 times and has walked 28 times. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .314 and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 43 hits so far while scoring 17 runs and he's driven in 19. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 26 times. The Twins have 368 hits, including 74 doubles and 44 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Minnesota has walked 136 times this season and they've struck out 405 times as a unit. They've left 317 men on base and have a team OPS of .676. They score 3.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 167 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 10-11 home record and a 28-18 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.50, Wade Miley has a 5-2 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 41 strikeouts over the 56 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 56 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.51. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.62 and they have given up 96 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .192 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 151 times and walking 47 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.37 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.20. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 354 base knocks and 147 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 48 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 131 hitters and struck out 385. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.17 while their FIP as a staff is 3.80.
As a team, they are batting .255, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .238 average at home. The Mariners hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.7 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .293 and he has an OBP of .393. He has 48 hits this year along with 25 runs scored and 32 RBI. He's struck out 45 times and has walked on 23 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .295 and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 56 hits so far while he's scored 31 runs and drove in 43. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 28 times. The Mariners as a unit have 400 base hits, including 66 doubles and 65 homers. They have 16 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Seattle as a team has walked 154 times this year and they have struck out 346 times. They've had 308 men left on base and have an OPS of .757. They score 4.78 runs per game and have totaled 220 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 24-19-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 18-28-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 19-23-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 23-23-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11)
05/26/16 CF Leonys Martin Hamstring injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Minnesota Twins
05/23/16 SS Ketel Marte Thumb 15-day DL (5/22)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners
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