Sunday, May 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ricky Nolasco vs. Taijuan Walker
The Minnesota Twins visit Safeco Field on Sunday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Ricky Nolasco for the Twins and Taijuan Walker for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +163 and Seattle at -173. The over/under was set at 8. The Twins have a 25-19-3 over/under record and a 19-28-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Mariners are 23-24-0 against the run line and have a 20-23-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Twins head into this matchup with a 13-34 record, including 5-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Ricky Nolasco has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 5.54 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 46 strikeouts over his 52 innings pitched and he has given up 60 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.7. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.56 and they have given up 187 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .280 against the bullpen while being struck out 166 times and walking 55 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.08 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.02 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.01. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 465 base hits and 231 earned runs. They have allowed 64 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 135 batters and struck out 370. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.35.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .236, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .229 average away from home. The Twins hold a .378 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.04 hits per game. Joe Mauer comes into this game hitting .281 and his on-base percentage is at .389. He has 47 hits this season along with 15 runs scored and 15 runs batted in. He's struck out 30 times and has walked 29 times. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .317 and he has an on-base percentage of .349. He has totaled 45 hits so far while scoring 18 runs and he's driven in 19. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 28 times. The Twins have 378 hits, including 77 doubles and 46 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Minnesota has walked 139 times this season and they've struck out 416 times as a unit. They've left 323 men on base and have a team OPS of .680. They score 3.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 174 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 10-12 home record and a 28-19 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.70, Taijuan Walker has a 2-4 record and a 1.06 WHIP. He has 47 strikeouts over the 50 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 44 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.69. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.62 and they have given up 98 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .192 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 156 times and walking 49 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 7.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.43 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.28. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 364 base knocks and 154 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 50 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 134 hitters and struck out 396. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.18 while their FIP as a staff is 3.82.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Mariners hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.62 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .292 and he has an OBP of .390. He has 49 hits this year along with 25 runs scored and 32 RBI. He's struck out 46 times and has walked on 23 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .294 and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 57 hits so far while he's scored 32 runs and drove in 43. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 28 times. The Mariners as a unit have 405 base hits, including 67 doubles and 66 homers. They have 16 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Seattle as a team has walked 154 times this year and they have struck out 357 times. They've had 311 men left on base and have an OPS of .753. They score 4.72 runs per game and have totaled 222 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 25-19-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 19-28-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 20-23-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 23-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/28/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Knee left last game, doubtful Saturday vs. Seattle Mariners
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11)
05/28/16 CF Leonys Martin Hamstring 15-day DL (5/26)
05/23/16 SS Ketel Marte Thumb 15-day DL (5/22)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Tony's Pick: Take the Twins
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