Sunday, August 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Kyle Gibson vs. Matt Andriese
The Minnesota Twins head to Tropicana Field on Sunday to take on the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable pitchers are Kyle Gibson for the Twins and Matt Andriese for the Rays. The opening line for this game has Minnesota at +133 and Tampa Bay at -143. The over/under is 7.5. The Twins have a 65-38-6 over/under mark and a 58-51-0 run line record, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Rays are 46-62-0 against the run line and have a 45-56-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.
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The Twins head into this game with a 44-65 record, and they are 21-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Kyle Gibson has a 3-6 record with an ERA of 4.94 and a WHIP of 1.45. He has 59 strikeouts during his 82 innings pitched and he has given up 93 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.46. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.27 and they have allowed 386 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the pen while they've been struck out 353 times and walked 117 times this year. As a unit, Minnesota has given up 10 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 hitters per nine. They are 28th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.86. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 1,077 base hits and 523 earned runs. They have allowed 149 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 284 batters and struck out 797. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.43.
As a team, Minnesota is hitting .256, good for 14th in the league while putting together a .255 average on the road. The Twins have a .428 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .322 which is good for 16th in the league. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.87 hits per contest. Eduardo Nunez comes into this game hitting .286 and his on-base percentage is at .319. He has 112 hits this season along with 49 runs scored and 49 runs batted in. He's struck out 61 times and has walked 18 times. Joe Mauer is hitting .282 and he has an on-base percentage of .383. He has totaled 107 hits so far while scoring 57 runs and he's driven in 41. He has walked 62 times and has struck out 70 times. The Twins have 967 hits, including 202 doubles and 131 home runs. They've stolen 73 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 22 times. Minnesota has walked 350 times this season and they've struck out 927 times as a unit. They've left 764 men on base and have a team OPS of .750. They score 4.62 runs per contest and have scored a total of 504 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this game with a 24-33 home mark and a 44-64 overall record. With an ERA of 2.72, Matt Andriese has a 6-2 record and a 1.03 WHIP. He has 57 strikeouts over the 76 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 61 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.02. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.50 and they have given up 330 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 286 times and walking 109 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.82 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.52 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 935 base knocks and 444 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 135 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 311 hitters and struck out 903. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .228 average at home. The Rays hold a .416 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.01 hits per contest. Logan Forsythe comes into this matchup batting .275 and he has an OBP of .339. He has 88 hits this year along with 49 runs scored and 29 RBI. He's struck out 75 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Evan Longoria is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .327. He has collected 117 hits so far while he's scored 53 runs and drove in 59. He has earned a walk 31 times and has punched out 103 times. The Rays as a unit have 865 base hits, including 184 doubles and 139 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 26 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 321 times this year and they have struck out 980 times. They've had 720 men left on base and have an OPS of .723. They score 3.98 runs per game and have totaled 430 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 65-38-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 58-51-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 45-56-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 46-62-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/04/16 3B Trevor Plouffe Ribs 15-day DL (7/1)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Tampa Bay Rays
07/31/16 RF Oswaldo Arcia Elbow 15-day DL (7/27)
07/29/16 1B Logan Morrison Forearm 15-day DL (7/28)
06/21/16 CF Mike Mahtook Hand 15-day DL (6/21)
06/21/16 3B Matt Duffy Achilles 15-day DL (6/19)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays
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