Saturday, August 27, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Ervin Santana vs. Marcus Stroman
The Minnesota Twins visit Rogers Centre on Saturday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Ervin Santana for the Twins and Marcus Stroman for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +176 and Toronto at -186. The over/under was set at 9. The Twins have a 77-43-7 over/under record and a 65-62-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Blue Jays are 67-60-0 against the run line and have a 50-71-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Twins head into this matchup with a 49-78 record, including 24-38 on the road. Starting pitcher Ervin Santana has a 6-10 record with an earned run average of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.19. He has 109 strikeouts over his 140.2 innings pitched and he has given up 133 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.64. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 468 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the bullpen while being struck out 403 times and walking 137 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.16 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.32 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.00. The Twins pitchers have collectively given up 1,274 base hits and 627 earned runs. They have allowed 173 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 340 batters and struck out 918. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.50.
As a team, Minnesota is batting .255, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .254 average away from home. The Twins hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.84 hits per game. Brian Dozier comes into this game hitting .269 and his on-base percentage is at .342. He has 128 hits this season along with 80 runs scored and 76 runs batted in. He's struck out 90 times and has walked 48 times. Joe Mauer is hitting .276 and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 118 hits so far while scoring 62 runs and he's driven in 45. He has walked 68 times and has struck out 80 times. The Twins have 1,123 hits, including 232 doubles and 150 home runs. They've stolen 79 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. Minnesota has walked 396 times this season and they've struck out 1,074 times as a unit. They've left 885 men on base and have a team OPS of .743. They score 4.52 runs per contest and have scored a total of 574 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 37-28 home record and a 71-56 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.47, Marcus Stroman has a 9-5 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 135 strikeouts over the 161 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 167 hits. He has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.72. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 346 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 355 times and walking 101 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.03 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,061 base knocks and 481 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 145 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 348 hitters and struck out 1,027. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 4.03.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .261 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.46 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .399. He has 134 hits this year along with 99 runs scored and 82 RBI. He's struck out 94 times and has walked on 81 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .271 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 128 hits so far while he's scored 78 runs and drove in 101. He has earned a walk 63 times and has punched out 113 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,074 base hits, including 223 doubles and 181 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Toronto as a team has walked 473 times this year and they have struck out 1,086 times. They've had 866 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They score 4.79 runs per game and have totaled 608 runs so far this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 77-43-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 65-62-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 50-71-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 67-60-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/26/16 1B Joe Mauer Quad "?" Friday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
08/25/16 P Hector Santiago Thumb expected to miss next scheduled start Friday vs Toronto Blue Jays
08/24/16 DH Byung Ho Park Wrist out for season
08/13/16 P Tommy Milone Bicep 15-day DL (8/11)
08/11/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (8/7)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Toronto Blue Jays
08/26/16 P J.A. Happ Foot "?" for next scheduled start
08/25/16 P Aaron Sanchez Hamstring "?" Friday vs. Minnesota Twins
08/25/16 2B Devon Travis Hand "?" Friday vs. Minnesota Twins
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins
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