Saturday, April 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Jhoulys Chacin
The New York Mets visit Turner Field on Saturday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Steven Matz for the Mets and Jhoulys Chacin for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -157 and Atlanta at +147. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Mets have a 7-7-0 over/under record and a 6-8-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Braves are 7-8-0 against the run line and have a 9-4-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 7-7 record, including 5-3 on the road. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 7.27 and a WHIP of 1.50. He has 10 strikeouts over his 8.2 innings pitched and he has given up 9 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.61. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.25 and they have given up 47 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen while being struck out 55 times and walking 16 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.67 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.08. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 122 base hits and 43 earned runs. They have allowed 6 home runs this season and they allow 0.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 36 batters and struck out 135. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 2.36.
As a team, New York is batting .239, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .268 average away from home. The Mets hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.29 hits per game. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this game hitting .291 and his on-base percentage is at .371. He has 16 hits this season along with 11 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 20 times and has walked 6 times. Lucas Duda is hitting .264 and he has an on-base percentage of .291. He has totaled 14 hits so far while scoring 8 runs and he's driven in 10. He has walked 2 times and has struck out 12 times. The Mets have 116 hits, including 27 doubles and 21 home runs. They've stolen 3 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 1 times. New York has walked 45 times this season and they've struck out 134 times as a unit. They've left 103 men on base and have a team OPS of .745. They score 4.07 runs per contest and have scored a total of 57 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 1-7 home record and a 4-11 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.38, Jhoulys Chacin has a 0-0 record and a 0.79 WHIP. He has 14 strikeouts over the 11.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 9 hits. He has allowed 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 0.56. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 49 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 58 times and walking 35 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.73 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.27 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.67. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 131 base knocks and 70 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 16 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 62 hitters and struck out 124. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.22.
As a team, they are batting .218, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .221 average at home. The Braves hold a .285 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.27 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .302 and he has an OBP of .413. He has 16 hits this year along with 7 runs scored and 12 RBI. He's struck out 8 times and has walked on 9 occasions. Adonis Garcia is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .379. He has collected 14 hits so far while he's scored 5 runs and drove in 5. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 11 times. The Braves as a unit have 109 base hits, including 24 doubles and 3 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 55 times this year and they have struck out 123 times. They've had 102 men left on base and have an OPS of .587. They score 3.6 runs per game and have totaled 54 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 7-7-0 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 6-8-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 9-4-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 7-8-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
04/19/16 P Jacob deGrom Shoulder expected to start Sunday vs. Atlanta Braves
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/18/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (4/17)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/11/16 RF Ender Inciarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/9)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves
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