Sunday, April 24, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jacob DeGrom vs. Aaron Blair
The New York Mets visit Turner Field on Sunday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Jacob DeGrom for the Mets and Aaron Blair for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -143 and Atlanta at +133. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Mets have a 8-7-0 over/under record and a 7-8-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Braves are 7-9-0 against the run line and have a 10-4-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 8-7 record, including 6-3 on the road. Starting pitcher Jacob DeGrom has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.83. He has 6 strikeouts over his 6 innings pitched and he has given up 5 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 1.03. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.17 and they have given up 50 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the bullpen while being struck out 62 times and walking 17 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.82 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.82 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.07. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 132 base hits and 46 earned runs. They have allowed 6 home runs this season and they allow 0.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 38 batters and struck out 147. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 2.29.
As a team, New York is batting .242, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .269 average away from home. The Mets hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.4 hits per game. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this game hitting .288 and his on-base percentage is at .364. He has 17 hits this season along with 11 runs scored and 14 runs batted in. He's struck out 21 times and has walked 6 times. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .315 and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 17 hits so far while scoring 4 runs and he's driven in 3. He has walked 4 times and has struck out 11 times. The Mets have 126 hits, including 29 doubles and 23 home runs. They've stolen 3 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 1 times. New York has walked 48 times this season and they've struck out 138 times as a unit. They've left 109 men on base and have a team OPS of .751. They score 4.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 63 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 1-8 home record and a 4-12 overall mark. Aaron Blair is making his season debut for the Braves. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 54 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 58 times and walking 36 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.69. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 141 base knocks and 75 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 18 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 65 hitters and struck out 128. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.34.
As a team, they are batting .222, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .227 average at home. The Braves hold a .285 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303 which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.44 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .281 and he has an OBP of .397. He has 16 hits this year along with 7 runs scored and 12 RBI. He's struck out 10 times and has walked on 10 occasions. Adonis Garcia is hitting .309 and he has an OBP of .397. He has collected 17 hits so far while he's scored 6 runs and drove in 6. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 11 times. The Braves as a unit have 119 base hits, including 25 doubles and 3 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 57 times this year and they have struck out 135 times. They've had 112 men left on base and have an OPS of .589. They score 3.8 runs per game and have totaled 57 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 8-7-0 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 7-8-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 10-4-2 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 7-9-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
04/23/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Leg is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Atlanta Braves
04/19/16 P Jacob deGrom Shoulder expected to start Sunday vs. Atlanta Braves
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/18/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (4/17)
04/13/16 2B Hector Olivera Legal problems out indefinitely
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/11/16 RF Ender Inciarte Hamstring 15-day DL (4/9)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKiraha Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Manuel Banuelos Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodrigue Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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