Thursday, June 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Harvey vs. John Gant
The New York Mets head to Turner Field on Thursday to take on the Atlanta Braves. The probable pitchers are Matt Harvey for the Mets and John Gant for the Braves. The opening line for this game has New York at -159 and Atlanta at +149. The over/under is 7.5. The Mets have a 32-36-1 over/under mark and a 28-41-0 run line record, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Braves are 31-39-0 against the run line and have a 31-33-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
The Mets head into this game with a 37-32 record, and they are 19-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Harvey has a 4-9 record with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.39. He has 66 strikeouts during his 79.1 innings pitched and he has given up 88 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.64. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.11 and they have allowed 175 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the pen while they've been struck out 223 times and walked 79 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.35 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.88 hitters per nine. They are 2nd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.20. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 570 base hits and 217 earned runs. They have allowed 55 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 169 batters and struck out 607. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.19.
As a team, New York is hitting .233, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .245 average on the road. The Mets have a .408 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .307 which is good for 25th in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.72 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .265 and his on-base percentage is at .324. He has 67 hits this season along with 26 runs scored and 22 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 16 times. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .284 and he has an on-base percentage of .354. He has totaled 65 hits so far while scoring 39 runs and he's driven in 44. He has walked 24 times and has struck out 61 times. The Mets have 533 hits, including 106 doubles and 92 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. New York has walked 220 times this season and they've struck out 610 times as a unit. They've left 473 men on base and have a team OPS of .715. They score 3.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 252 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this game with a 9-27 home mark and a 24-46 overall record. With an ERA of 4.37, John Gant has a 1-1 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 22.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 21 hits. He has allowed 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.74. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 232 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 254 times and walking 120 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.48 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.94 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.39. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 598 base knocks and 310 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 75 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 248 hitters and struck out 560. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.18.
As a team, they are batting .234, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .231 average at home. The Braves hold a .331 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.99 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .243 and he has an OBP of .333. He has 63 hits this year along with 25 runs scored and 39 RBI. He's struck out 43 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .276 and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 72 hits so far while he's scored 33 runs and drove in 26. He has earned a walk 31 times and has punched out 76 times. The Braves as a unit have 559 base hits, including 108 doubles and 33 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 18 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 207 times this year and they have struck out 553 times. They've had 507 men left on base and have an OPS of .632. They score 3.36 runs per game and have totaled 235 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 32-36-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 28-41-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 31-33-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 31-39-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
06/22/16 P Jim Henderso Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/21/16 P Bartolo Colon Thumb left last game, "?" for next scheduled start
06/16/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (6/15)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/21/16 3B Adonis Garcia Ankle "?" Wednesday vs. Miami Marlins
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves
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