Saturday, June 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom vs. Julio Teheran
The New York Mets visit Turner Field on Saturday to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Jacob deGrom for the Mets and Julio Teheran for the Braves. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -133 and Atlanta at +123. The over/under was set at 7. The Mets have a 33-37-1 over/under record and a 28-43-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 39% of the time. The Braves are 32-40-0 against the run line and have a 31-35-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 38-33 record, including 19-17 on the road. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has 71 strikeouts over his 73 innings pitched and he has given up 65 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.07. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.12 and they have given up 180 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the bullpen while being struck out 226 times and walking 80 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.43 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.78 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.22. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 591 base hits and 224 earned runs. They have allowed 57 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 170 batters and struck out 617. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.20.
As a team, New York is batting .233, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .244 average away from home. The Mets hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.69 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .268 and his on-base percentage is at .327. He has 70 hits this season along with 29 runs scored and 24 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 17 times. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .290 and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 67 hits so far while scoring 39 runs and he's driven in 44. He has walked 25 times and has struck out 61 times. The Mets have 546 hits, including 109 doubles and 94 home runs. They've stolen 13 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. New York has walked 229 times this season and they've struck out 624 times as a unit. They've left 487 men on base and have a team OPS of .714. They score 3.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 259 runs so far this year.
Atlanta comes into this matchup with a 10-27 home record and a 25-47 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.66, Julio Teheran has a 3-7 record and a 0.91 WHIP. He has 92 strikeouts over the 98 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 65 hits. He has allowed 6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.83. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 234 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Braves bullpen while being struck out 258 times and walking 121 times this season. As a team, Atlanta has allowed 8.48 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.87 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 614 base knocks and 316 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 76 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a staff has walked 253 hitters and struck out 570. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.
As a team, they are batting .236, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Braves hold a .332 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.01 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .247 and he has an OBP of .334. He has 66 hits this year along with 27 runs scored and 39 RBI. He's struck out 44 times and has walked on 35 occasions. Freddie Freeman is hitting .275 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 74 hits so far while he's scored 34 runs and drove in 26. He has earned a walk 31 times and has punched out 78 times. The Braves as a unit have 577 base hits, including 111 doubles and 34 homers. They have 39 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Atlanta as a team has walked 209 times this year and they have struck out 562 times. They've had 520 men left on base and have an OPS of .634. They score 3.32 runs per game and have totaled 239 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 33-37-1 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 28-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 31-35-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 32-40-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
06/24/16 LF Michael Conforto Knee injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
06/23/16 P Noah Syndergaard Elbow left last start, probable Monday vs. Washington Nationals
06/23/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Wrist expected to miss Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
06/22/16 P Jim Henderso Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/21/16 P Bartolo Colon Thumb left last start, "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta Braves
06/16/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (6/15)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 15-day DL (5/30)
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/20/16 LF Mallex Smith Thumb 15-day DL (6/20)
06/08/16 P Williams Perez Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (6/7)
06/03/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 15-day DL (6/1)
06/02/16 3B Gordon Beckham Hamstring 15-day DL (6/2)
05/27/16 2B Hector Olivera Suspension 82 game suspension, eligible to return (8/1)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
04/04/16 P Shae Simmons Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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