Tuesday, July 19, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Noah Syndergaard vs. Jake Arrieta
The New York Mets head to Wrigley Field on Tuesday to take on the Chicago Cubs. The probable pitchers are Noah Syndergaard for the Mets and Jake Arrieta for the Cubs. The opening line for this game has New York at +145 and Chicago at -155. The over/under is 8.5. The Mets have a 39-50-2 over/under mark and a 38-53-0 run line record, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Cubs are 47-44-0 against the run line and have a 46-41-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Mets head into this game with a 49-42 record, and they are 23-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard has a 9-4 record with an ERA of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.08. He has 128 strikeouts during his 105.2 innings pitched and he has given up 96 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.04. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.21 and they have allowed 231 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the pen while they've been struck out 290 times and walked 102 times this year. As a unit, New York has given up 8.46 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 hitters per nine. They are 3rd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.34. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 760 base hits and 298 earned runs. They have allowed 81 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 230 batters and struck out 771. They walk 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 3.47.
As a team, New York is hitting .237, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .242 average on the road. The Mets have a .415 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .310 which is good for 24th in the league. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.87 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this game hitting .267 and his on-base percentage is at .322. He has 88 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 31 runs batted in. He's struck out 68 times and has walked 21 times. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .299 and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 87 hits so far while scoring 47 runs and he's driven in 52. He has walked 32 times and has struck out 77 times. The Mets have 716 hits, including 138 doubles and 126 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. New York has walked 289 times this season and they've struck out 775 times as a unit. They've left 621 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 3.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 347 runs so far this year.
Chicago comes into this game with a 28-15 home mark and a 55-36 overall record. With an ERA of 2.68, Jake Arrieta has a 12-4 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 121 strikeouts over the 114.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 82 hits. He has allowed 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.04. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 204 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .209 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 269 times and walking 112 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 7.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.85 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.26. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 641 base knocks and 301 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 93 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Chicago as a staff has walked 280 hitters and struck out 806. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.12 while their FIP as a staff is 3.83.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .237 average at home. The Cubs hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345 which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.62 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .294 and he has an OBP of .408. He has 94 hits this year along with 55 runs scored and 65 RBI. He's struck out 58 times and has walked on 50 occasions. Kris Bryant is hitting .282 and he has an OBP of .378. He has collected 96 hits so far while he's scored 74 runs and drove in 65. He has earned a walk 44 times and has punched out 93 times. The Cubs as a unit have 784 base hits, including 165 doubles and 120 homers. They have 35 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 19 times. Chicago as a team has walked 386 times this year and they have struck out 788 times. They've had 684 men left on base and have an OPS of .776. They score 5.16 runs per game and have totaled 470 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 39-50-2 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 38-53-0 against the run line so far this season
Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
The Chicago Cubs are 46-41-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Chicago Cubs are 47-44-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
07/15/16 P Noah Syndergaard Arm expected to start Tuesday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
07/16/16 P Trevor Cahill Knee 15-day DL (7/9)
07/03/16 2B Chris Coghlan Ribs 15-day DL (7/3)
06/20/16 CF Dexter Fowler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/19)
06/07/16 LF Jorge Soler Hamstring 15-day DL (6/6)
05/18/16 P Joe Nathan Elbow 60-day DL (5/17)
04/08/16 C Kyle Schwarber Knee 60-day DL (4/8); out for season
04/04/16 P Aaron Brooks Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 3B Christian Villanueva Fibula 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Dallas Beeler Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Zac Rosscup Shoulder 60-day DL (2/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Cubs
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