Saturday, April 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Harvey vs. Josh Tomlin
The New York Mets visit Progressive Field on Saturday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Matt Harvey for the Mets and Josh Tomlin for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -130 and Cleveland at +120. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Mets have a 3-5-0 over/under record and a 2-6-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 25% of the time. The Indians are 3-4-0 against the run line and have a 3-3-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.
The Mets head into this matchup with a 3-5 record, including 1-1 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Harvey has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.54. He has 5 strikeouts over his 11.2 innings pitched and he has given up 14 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.5. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.36 and they have given up 25 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen while being struck out 30 times and walking 10 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.63 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 2.92. The Mets pitchers have collectively given up 68 base hits and 23 earned runs. They have allowed 4 home runs this season and they allow 0.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. New York as a pitching staff has walked 20 batters and struck out 76. They walk 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 2.65.
As a team, New York is batting .194, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .197 average away from home. The Mets hold a .250 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .285 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 6.12 hits per game. Yoenis Cespedes comes into this game hitting .233 and his on-base percentage is at .324. He has 7 hits this season along with 5 runs scored and 3 runs batted in. He's struck out 11 times and has walked 3 times. Lucas Duda is hitting .231 and he has an on-base percentage of .286. He has totaled 6 hits so far while scoring 3 runs and he's driven in 3. He has walked 2 times and has struck out 8 times. The Mets have 49 hits, including 8 doubles and 2 home runs. They've stolen 3 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 1 time. New York has walked 30 times this season and they've struck out 72 times as a unit. They've left 56 men on base and have a team OPS of .535. They score 2.5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 20 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 1-1 home record and a 4-3 overall mark. Josh Tomlin is making his season debut for Cleveland. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 5.60 and they have given up 14 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 15 times and walking 9 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 7.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.41 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 49 base knocks and 26 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 10 home runs this year and they give up 1.5 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 23 hitters and struck out 57. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.18 while their FIP as a staff is 4.71.
As a team, they are batting .229, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .226 average at home. The Indians hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .291 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 7.57 hits per contest. Carlos Santana comes into this matchup batting .192 and he has an OBP of .241. He has 5 hits this year along with 2 runs scored and 6 RBI. He's struck out 4 times and has walked on 2 occasions. Jason Kipnis is hitting .250 and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 6 hits so far while he's scored 3 runs and drove in 3. He has earned a walk 5 times and has punched out 8 times. The Indians as a unit have 53 base hits, including 9 doubles and 9 homers. They have 7 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 1 time. Cleveland as a team has walked 22 times this year and they have struck out 68 times. They've had 42 men left on base and have an OPS of .685. They score 4.29 runs per game and have totaled 30 runs so far this season.
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 3-5-0 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 2-6-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 3-3-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 3-4-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
New York Mets
04/14/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Knee injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Cleveland Indians
04/10/16 P Jacob deGrom Oblique "?" next start
04/04/16 P Joshua Edgin Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/05/16 P Tommy Hunter Side 15-day DL (3/26)
04/04/16 3B Lonnie Chisenhall Arm 15-day DL (3/28)
04/04/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mets
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